PPL
PPL CorporationNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, PPL has a composite score of 10.6 and is labeled as "mild favorable." The score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.8 and various macroeconomic factors, including rates, labor, inflation, and growth. The sector score is slightly unfavorable at -0.7, indicating potential challenges in the utilities sector. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.19
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2022-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.36 → $0.36 (+2.0% / 30d). 2 raised, 3 cut, 11 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 75% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 13.5% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Reaffirm 2026 EPS forecast of $1.90 to $1.98growthbehind0% progress
5/8: “PPL reaffirmed its 2026 ongoing earnings forecast range of $1.90 to $1.98 per share with a midpoint of $1.94.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. PPL reaffirmed its 2026 EPS forecast range of $1.90 to $1.98, with a midpoint of $1.94, representing a 7.2% increase over 2025 ongoing earnings. Despite the reaffirmation, net income decreased from $318M in 2025-Q3 to $80M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards the forecast.
- 2.Increase annual base distribution revenues by $275Mgrowthbehind0% progress
3/13: “The settlement provides for an increase in the annual base distribution revenues of $275 million.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. PPL announced a settlement to increase annual base distribution revenues by $275 million. However, revenue decreased from $2.23B in 2025-Q3 to $1.89B in 2025-Q4, showing limited progress towards this target.
- 3.Strengthen and modernize the electric gridgrowthwatchprovisional
9/30: “The company’s proposal requests funding to further strengthen and modernize the electric grid.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q3. PPL proposed funding to strengthen and modernize the electric grid. Despite this strategic focus, operating income decreased from $569M in 2025-Q3 to $220M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress in financial terms.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 18%; 252d 17%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −12%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.04 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 72/100, drawdown 77/100, beta 4/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Reaffirm 2026 EPS forecast of $1.90 to $1.98
GrowthNew since 2026-05-08PPL continues to reaffirm its 2026 earnings forecast range of $1.90 to $1.98 per share.
BehindStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. PPL reaffirmed its 2026 EPS forecast range of $1.90 to $1.98, with a midpoint of $1.94, representing a 7.2% increase over 2025 ongoing earnings. Despite the reaffirmation, net income decreased from $318M in 2025-Q3 to $80M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards the forecast.
0%CEO/CFO:“PPL reaffirmed its 2026 ongoing earnings forecast range of $1.90 to $1.98 per share with a midpoint of $1.94.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-08Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-08Show history (3)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“PPL reaffirmed its 2026 ongoing earnings forecast range of $1.90 to $1.98 per share.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“the Company reaffirms its projected 2026 forecast range of $1.90 to $1.98 per share”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“PPL provided a 2026 earnings forecast range of $1.90 to $1.98 per share”
- #2
Increase annual base distribution revenues by $275M
GrowthPPL aims to increase annual base distribution revenues by $275 million as part of a settlement.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. PPL announced a settlement to increase annual base distribution revenues by $275 million. However, revenue decreased from $2.23B in 2025-Q3 to $1.89B in 2025-Q4, showing limited progress towards this target.
0%CEO/CFO:“The settlement provides for an increase in the annual base distribution revenues of $275 million.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-03-13Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-03-13Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“the settlement provides for an increase in the annual base distribution revenues of $275 million”
- #3
Strengthen and modernize the electric grid
GrowthPPL plans to further strengthen and modernize the electric grid to withstand severe weather and cyber threats.
WatchNewly stated in 2025-Q3. PPL proposed funding to strengthen and modernize the electric grid. Despite this strategic focus, operating income decreased from $569M in 2025-Q3 to $220M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress in financial terms.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“The company’s proposal requests funding to further strengthen and modernize the electric grid.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-09-30Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2025-09-30provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“The company’s proposal requests funding to further strengthen and modernize the electric grid”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PPL PPL Corporation | +11 | fair | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-08)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-08)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-081d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 8, 2026, PPL Corporation ("PPL") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 and other business matters. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. Section 7 - Regulation FD
earnings preannouncement—score 65
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.