PSKY
Paramount Skydance CorporationNASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, PSKY has a confidence score of 59.3, with a confidence label of "low." The company momentum score increased by 18.8 points to 57.8, indicating improved momentum. However, the overall assessment is provisional, and the top drivers affecting the scores include macroeconomic factors such as rates, labor, growth, and inflation.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share-0.89
- Slope (norm)-1.11
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Buyback / dividend activity on weakening fundamentals — historically a value-trap pattern (48% T+1y positive return vs 69% baseline in IT 2024-26).
Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.17 → $0.18 (+5.3% / 30d). 1 raised, 2 cut, 17 covering analysts.
1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 14% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
10 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve $30B revenue in 2026growthon track100% progress
5/4: “We continue to expect total revenue of $30 billion, or 4% growth year-over-year.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $6.731B in 2025-Q3 to $22.482B in 2025-Q4. Management's $30B revenue target for 2026 remains consistent, but the trajectory shows significant growth needed to meet the goal.
- 2.Achieve $3.8B adjusted EBITDA in 2026growthmixed65% progress
5/4: “We forecast adj. EBITDA of $3.8 billion, or a 12.7% margin.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management's forecast for adjusted EBITDA of $3.8 billion in 2026 remains consistent. However, no specific EBITDA figures are available for comparison, indicating limited visibility into progress.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 53%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −55%. Bad day move −6%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLC) — 1.50 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol —, drawdown 0/100, beta 50/100, earnings vol —.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · company_momentum_scoreseverity 31
Company momentum rose by 18.8 points (from 39.0 to 57.8).
- label change · confidence_labelseverity 20
Confidence changed from 'medium' to 'low'.
As of 2026-05-08, the company momentum score for PSKY rose by 18.8 points, increasing from 39.0 to 57.8. However, the confidence label changed from 'medium' to 'low'. The overall situation is provisional, and further developments may impact these metrics.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve $30B revenue in 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Management aims for $30 billion in total revenue for 2026, representing 4% year-over-year growth.
On trackStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $6.731B in 2025-Q3 to $22.482B in 2025-Q4. Management's $30B revenue target for 2026 remains consistent, but the trajectory shows significant growth needed to meet the goal.
100%CEO/CFO:“We continue to expect total revenue of $30 billion, or 4% growth year-over-year.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-04Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We continue to expect total revenue of $30 billion, or 4% growth year-over-year.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“For 2026, we continue to expect total revenue of $30 billion, representing 4% year-over-year growth.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“For 2026, we expect total revenue of $30 billion, led by a healthy acceleration in DTC revenue with global profitability.”
- #2
Achieve $3.8B adjusted EBITDA in 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Management forecasts adjusted EBITDA of $3.8 billion for 2026, aiming for a 12.7% margin.
MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management's forecast for adjusted EBITDA of $3.8 billion in 2026 remains consistent. However, no specific EBITDA figures are available for comparison, indicating limited visibility into progress.
65%CEO/CFO:“We forecast adj. EBITDA of $3.8 billion, or a 12.7% margin.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-04Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We forecast adj. EBITDA of $3.8 billion, or a 12.7% margin.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We expect Adj. EBITDA of $3.8 billion.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We expect 2026 adj. OIBDA of $3.5 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
P/E over the last 5 years
0 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation | — | — | elevated |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | +31 | fair | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | +32 | fair | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | +30 | inexpensive | elevated |
NFLX Netflix | +23 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If communication_services sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-04)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-04)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-5.8 pts
- If communication_services sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-044d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 4, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation issued a Shareholder Letter announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Shareholder Letter is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99 and is incorporated by reference herein in its entirety. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, a…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 66 - 2026-04-0929d agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. New Pro Rata Credit Agreement On April 7, 2026, PSKY entered into a Credit Agreement (the “Pro Rata Credit Agreement”) among PSKY, Citibank, N.A. as administrative agent and collateral agent, BofA Securities, Inc., Citibank, N.A., Apollo Global Funding, LLC, Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, as joint lead arrangers and joint bookrunners, Bank of America, N.A., as syndication agent, Apollo Global Funding, LLC, Deutsche Ba…
capital allocationneutralscore 33 - 2026-04-0929d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 8, 2026, PSKY and Paramount Global entered into a Separation Agreement (the “Separation Agreement”) with Jeffrey Shell, President of PSKY and a member of PSKY’s Board of Directors, pursuant to which Mr. Shell ceased to serve as an employee of PSKY and as a member of the Board of Directors of PSKY, effective as of April 8, 2026. In connecti…
executive changeneutralscore 29 - 2026-04-071mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. Background On February 27, 2026, PSKY and Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (“WBD”) entered into a merger agreement (the “Merger Agreement”) providing for the acquisition by PSKY of WBD for $31 per share in cash, plus, if applicable, a ticking fee. Concurrently with the execution of the Merger Agreement, The Lawrence J. Ellison Revocable Trust, u/a/d 1/22/88, as amended (the “Trust”), and Mr. Lawrence J. Ellison (together with the Trust, the “Ellison Parties”) entered into a Guarante…
capital allocationneutralscore 25 - 2026-04-071mo agoItem 3.02
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information set forth in
capital allocationnegativescore 25
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.