Quantum Corp (QMCO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
$24.73+1.77%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · QMCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 16.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 63.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
QMCO — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-09-01
Chief Accounting Officer — Hiral A. Patel: The filing announces the external appointment of a new Chief Accounting Officer, which is a standard executive hire rather than a departure.
Why it matters: A bigger backlog shows strong future demand for Quantum's products.
Supportive ifBacklog is up from last quarter.
Worry ifBacklog is down from last quarter.
Why it matters: Positive EBITDA shows the company can make money over time.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP adjusted EBITDA is $6 million or more.
Worry ifNon-GAAP adjusted EBITDA is less than $5 million.
Why it matters: Achieving breakeven EBITDA is key for Quantum Corp's financial health. It shows cost management is improving.
Supportive ifManagement says EBITDA will be close to breakeven in the next quarter.
Worry ifEBITDA remains negative or worsens in the next quarter.
Why it matters: If revenue meets or beats guidance, it shows Quantum's growth and product demand.
Supportive ifQ2 2027 revenue is $82 million or more. This shows strong sales.
Worry ifQ2 2027 revenue is under $80 million. This suggests weaker demand.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$399 on $10,000 · ±4.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $904 loss on $10,000 · 9.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,772 loss on $10,000 · 67.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping costs low while making more money is key for long-term profit.
Supportive ifOperating expenses are $26 million or less for Q2 2027.
Worry ifOperating costs are over $28 million. This shows problems with managing expenses.
Why it matters: Supply chain issues could impact revenue and costs. Clear updates will help gauge operational risks.
Watch forManagement says supply chain conditions are better. This leads to stable operations.
Also watch forManagement says supply chain problems are getting worse. This affects revenue forecasts.