Quantum Corp (QMCO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-05
$13.69-18.37%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · QMCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -52.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 21.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 74.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers
QMCO — CFO transition
Dated 2026-10-09
CFO — William H. White: The immediate termination of the CFO is a significant negative event indicating a loss of a key senior executive, despite the appointment of an internal successor.
Why it matters: Quantum said supply limits kept it from meeting all demand. Record backlog may not turn into sales if orders are delayed or canceled.
Watch forRevenue grows from Q1's $80.8 million. Management reports fewer supply limits and a smaller backlog.
Also watch forRevenue falls below $80.8 million, or management says supply limits still block shipments and backlog grows.
Why it matters: Quantum posted $8 million in adjusted EBITDA in Q1, its first non-GAAP profit since 2023. Another strong result would support steady progress toward lasting profit.
Supportive ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA is above $6 million. This is more than the top of the $5 million to $7 million guidance range.
Worry ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA is below $5 million, less than the bottom of guidance.
Why it matters: Revenue rose from $78 million in Q4 to $80.8 million in Q1. Staying above $77.5 million would keep recent growth on track.
Supportive ifQuarterly revenue stays above $77.5 million in the next reported results.
Worry ifQuarterly revenue falls below $77.5 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$395 on $10,000 · ±4.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $965 loss on $10,000 · 9.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,032 loss on $10,000 · 60.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.