RENX ENTERPRISES CORP (RENX)
NASDAQIndustrialsReal Estate - DevelopmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQIndustrialsReal Estate - DevelopmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RENX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -79.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 53.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 132.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RENX — private placement
Dated 2026-08-28
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Amendment to Securities Purchase Agreement and Registration Rights Agreement On August 26, 2026, the Company and the Purchasers entered into an Amendment to Securities Purchase Agreement and Registration Rights Agreement (the “Amendment”), which amended the Purchase Agreement and Registration Rights Agreement, respectively, to provide that: (i) the Second Closing Date shall be August 26, 2026, or such other date as may be agreed upon in writing betw…
Why it matters: Better gross margins are key for the company's long-term profits. They show how well the Microtec mill is doing and how efficient operations are.
Supportive ifConsolidated gross margin rises to 40% or more in Q3 2026.
Worry ifGross margin remains below 30% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Revenue from this division will show how well RenX can scale new services.
Supportive ifThe land clearing division generates revenue from its first purchase order in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo revenue is reported from the land clearing division in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Closing this sale will provide funds to reduce debt and support operations.
Supportive ifThe sale of the Norman Berry property closes successfully by the end of 2026.
Worry ifThe sale of the Norman Berry property does not close due to unmet conditions.
Why it matters: Sales growth in this segment shows the effectiveness of management's scaling efforts. It is important for overall revenue growth.
Supportive ifBiomass Recycling segment sales grow a lot. This helps overall revenue increase.
Worry ifBiomass Recycling segment sales stay the same or drop.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$253 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,450 loss on $10,000 · 14.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,551 loss on $10,000 · 95.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows that operations are successful and there is market demand.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue shows growth above $4.26 million, maintaining the upward trend.
Worry ifQ3 revenue drops or stays below $4.26 million.
Why it matters: The mill is key to increasing production and margins. Its arrival is crucial for growth.
Supportive ifThe Microtec mill arrives in Myakka City on schedule in Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe mill's arrival is delayed beyond Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If this segment stays profitable, it shows good operations.
Supportive ifLogistics segment made money in Q3 2026.
Worry ifLogistics segment posts a loss in Q3 2026.