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ROL

Rollins, Inc.

NYSEIndustrialsPersonal ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08

$53.83-1.03%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, ROL has a composite score of 12.5 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.5 and is driven by macroeconomic factors such as growth, labor, rates, and inflation. The current analysis is provisional, indicating that the information may be subject to change.

Composite +13as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.04
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
132198225101
F2 · Value
expensive
Most expensive 20% of industrials cohort
Why this rank
Price
$53.83
TTM EPS
$1.10
Earnings yield
2.0%
P/E (TTM)
48.9

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
466
TTM CFO ($M)
608
CFO/NI
1.30
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
stable
Top 20% activity in industrials cohort· see deep-dive ↓
capital friendlyTop 30% capital-friendly in industrials cohort
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish5 PT revisions / 30d, avg 7.6% above currentfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.34 → $0.34 (-0.3% / 30d). 0 raised, 3 cut, 14 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 67% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 7.6% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Focus on organic growth and acquisitionsgrowthbehind0% progress
    2/11: The Company anticipates organic growth complemented by a strategic approach to acquisitions.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $748.3M in 2024-Q1 to $1.026B in 2025-Q3, indicating progress in organic growth. However, the focus on acquisitions has not been explicitly detailed in recent disclosures, suggesting limited substantive delivery on this front.

  2. 2.Improve profitability during peak seasoncostbehind0% progress
    4/22: We anticipate improving profitability in our underlying operations as we enter peak season.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Operating income decreased from $225M in 2025-Q3 to $101M in 2025-Q4, indicating a decline rather than improvement in profitability. This suggests limited progress on the stated priority of enhancing profitability during peak season.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −20%, typical day ±0.8%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 19%; 252d 23%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −20%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLI) 0.37 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 62/100, drawdown 60/100, beta 37/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-7.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLI

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite53.8 / 100
Capital allocation63
Earnings discipline63
Margin discipline59
Balance sheet17
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction43
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Focus on organic growth and acquisitions

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Rollins aims to drive growth through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.

    Behind

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $748.3M in 2024-Q1 to $1.026B in 2025-Q3, indicating progress in organic growth. However, the focus on acquisitions has not been explicitly detailed in recent disclosures, suggesting limited substantive delivery on this front.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:The Company anticipates organic growth complemented by a strategic approach to acquisitions.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-11Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (3)
    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      We remain well-positioned for continued growth, both organically and through acquisitions.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      We remain well-positioned to deliver strong results in 2025 and beyond.

    • 2025-Q1Multiple sources

      Our markets remain healthy and we are well-positioned to continue delivering strong results.

  • #2

    Improve profitability during peak season

    CostNew since 2026-05-04

    Rollins aims to enhance profitability as it enters its peak operational season.

    Behind

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Operating income decreased from $225M in 2025-Q3 to $101M in 2025-Q4, indicating a decline rather than improvement in profitability. This suggests limited progress on the stated priority of enhancing profitability during peak season.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:We anticipate improving profitability in our underlying operations as we enter peak season.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (1)
    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      We anticipate improving profitability in our underlying operations as we enter peak season.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
10higher = cheaper

Looks more expensive than peers.

Compared to its own history
97higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
47.7x
EV/EBITDA
27.0x
FCF yield
2.4%

P/E over the last 5 years

50 monthly points
fullas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
ROL
Rollins, Inc.
+13fullmoderate
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
+13expensivemoderate
GE
GE Aerospace
+11expensivemoderate
GEV
GE Vernova
+10fullmoderate
RTX
RTX Corporation
+20fairmoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.8%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-1.8%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-19.8%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-22)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-22)-8.0 pts
  • If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2216d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 22, 2026 , Rollins, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 45
  2. 2026-02-112mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 11, 2026 , Rollins, Inc. issued a press release announcing its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-12 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.