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SATS

EchoStar

NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecom ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08

$127.15+3.69%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, SATS has a mixed analyst scoring with a composite score of -1.8 and a medium confidence level of 64.9. The score is influenced by unfavorable macroeconomic factors, including rates, labor, and growth reversals, which contribute to a risk label of elevated. The sector score is low at 17.0, while management and market risk scores are 54.7 and 53.4, respectively. This analysis is provisional.

Composite -1.8as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 20% of communication services cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    -0.01
  • Slope (norm)
    0.40
  • Bonus
    0.10
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
-15-213-1664216567
F2 · Value
Loss-making
Earnings yield undefined
Why this rank
Price
$127.15
TTM EPS
$-46.35
Earnings yield
Undefined / loss-making
P/E (TTM)
Undefined / loss-making

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
Loss-making
Cash conversion undefined
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
-105
TTM CFO ($M)
994
CFO/NI
Undefined / loss-making
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
capital unfriendlyBottom 10% — net capital-unfriendly direction
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish strongEPS revised -358.4% / 30d, n=3for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.11 → $-0.28 (-358.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 3 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 50% of analysts rate Buy.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
elevatedworst 12m loss −34%, typical day ±2.6%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 57%; 252d 96%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −34%. Bad day move −6%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLC) 0.94 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 0/100, drawdown 32/100, beta 94/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-6.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLC

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite54.7 / 100
Capital allocation97
Earnings discipline24
Margin discipline2
Balance sheet50
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction47
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
higher = cheaper

Not enough peers to compare yet.

Compared to its own history
higher = cheaper

Self-history needs ~20 months of data.

P/E
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield

P/E over the last 5 years

0 monthly points
Self-history needs ~20 months of TTM data; this ticker isn’t there yet.
no labelas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
SATS
EchoStar
-1.8elevated
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. (Class A)
+31fairmoderate
GOOG
Alphabet Inc. (Class C)
+32fairmoderate
META
Meta Platforms
+30inexpensiveelevated
NFLX
Netflix
+23inexpensivemoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
2.6%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-5.7%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-33.9%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
elevatedas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If communication_services sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-5.8 pts
  • If communication_services sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-3.1 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-3.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-03-191mo agoItem 1.01

    Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On March 19, 2026, EchoStar Corporation, DISH Network Corporation, DISH DBS Corporation (“DDBS”) and certain of DDBS’s subsidiaries (DDBS and its subsidiaries, collectively, the “Company”) entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement (the “RSA” and the transactions contemplated thereby, the “Transactions”) with an ad hoc group (the “AHG”) representing more than 82% of holders of debt securities issued by DDBS (the “DDBS Notes”). The Transactions co…

    product or strategy shiftneutralscore 21
  2. 2026-03-191mo agoItem 1.02

    below. ​ The RSA adds certain protections for the DDBS Notes and adds financial flexibility and strategic optionality for the company, including increased flexibility to engage in potential M&A transactions. In addition, the DDBS noteholders and the Company mutually agreed that all pending litigation would be dismissed with prejudice. ​ The foregoing description of the RSA does not purport to be complete and is qualified in its entirety by reference to the RSA, which is filed herewith as Exhi…

    mna activitynegativescore 16
  3. 2025-12-294mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. ​ On December 26, 2025 (the “Effective Date”), in connection with Mr. Hamid Akhavan’s appointment as Chief Executive Officer, EchoStar Capital, Mr. Akhavan and EchoStar Corporation (the “Company”) entered into a new letter agreement (the “Letter Agreement”) that replaces and supersedes the previous letter agreement with Mr. Akhavan dated October 2,…

    executive changeneutralscore 4
  4. 2025-07-309mo agoItem 8.01

    Other Events. On July 29, 2025, DISH DBS Corporation (“DDBS”), a subsidiary of EchoStar Corporation (“EchoStar” and, together with its subsidiaries, the “Company”), notified the trustee for its 7.75% senior notes due 2026 (the “2026 Notes”) and its 7.375% senior notes due 2028 (the “2028 Notes” and, together with the 2026 Notes, the “Senior Notes”) that, on July 30, 2025, DDBS would make the scheduled interest payments originally due on July 1, 2025 on the Senior Notes, in each case including…

    capital allocationneutralscore 0
  5. 2025-06-2710mo agoItem 2.04

    Triggering Events That Accelerate or Increase a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement. ​ Because reaching an acceptable resolution of the FCC inquiries is not assured, the Company must continue to evaluate the deployment of its resources. In light of this continued uncertainty, DDBS has elected not to make a $77.5 million cash interest payment due on July 1, 2025 with respect to the 7.75% senior notes due 2026 (the “2026 Notes”) and a $36.875 mill…

    legal regulatorynegativescore 0
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-03-02 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.