SPLASH BEVERAGE GROUP INC (SBEV)
AMEXConsumer StaplesBeverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
AMEXConsumer StaplesBeverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Splash Beverage invested $217,479 in Avicanna as planned. They hired a new COO to improve operations. The company aims to fix NYSE equity issues. These steps could help the company recover.
The company lost over $2 million recently. It faces a big equity shortfall of $15 million. Shares dropped 62.9% from their high. These show serious financial problems.
The market expects revenue to fall about 60% next year. Our fair value matches the current price near $0.09. The market prices in a deep decline, but the company’s recovery is uncertain.
Breaks if: Equity remains below $6 million by end 2026
Breaks if: No operational improvement or leadership stability by end 2026
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a speculative growth opportunity amid significant volatility. The current thesis state indicates a cautious outlook due to recent financial struggles and ongoing operational challenges.
The market appears to price in a fragile situation, reflected in an expensive valuation compared to peers. However, the current valuation does not fully account for the weak performance and turbulent conditions the company faces.
Fundamentals are likely to remain weak in the near term, as indicated by a high probability of missing earnings again. Management's focus on advancing FDA approvals and addressing compliance issues may not yield immediate financial improvements.
The long-term thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers and the company's ability to execute on its management priorities. Any favorable shifts in inflation or sector momentum could benefit SBEV, while negative trends could further challenge its position.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Our read on the company is unchanged since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Investment falls below $217,479 by 2026-Q2
Over the next 1 to 3 years, SBEV's outlook is clouded by high risk and weak performance, making it a name to watch closely. Not investment advice.