Seaboard Corp (SEB)
AMEXIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3442.75+0.95%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SEB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -60.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 60.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Management lists revenue near $2.4 billion per quarter as a priority. Q2 sales reached $2.922 billion, above that level.
Watch forThe next quarterly report shows net sales of at least $2.4 billion.
Also watch forThe next quarterly report shows net sales below $2.4 billion.
Why it matters: Seaboard has kept the quarterly dividend at $2.25 in both reported 2026 quarters. A change would break that pattern.
Watch forThe next earnings release declares a dividend of $2.25 per share.
Also watch forThe next earnings release declares a dividend below $2.25 per share or no dividend.
Why it matters: Seaboard's signal changed from favorable to mild favorable. A further drop would add to the stated elevated risk.
Worry ifThe next signal update stays at mild_favorable or moves back to favorable.
Less concerning ifThe next signal update moves below mild_favorable.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$104 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $321 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,274 loss on $10,000 · 42.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.