Seaboard Corp (SEB)
AMEXIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4323.58+0.62%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SEB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -58.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
Why it matters: If the industrial sector shows renewed revenue growth, it could benefit Seaboard's performance. This is crucial for its future outlook.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the industrial sector rises above 7% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth is under 5%. This shows ongoing sector weakness.
Why it matters: The dividend payout reflects the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders. It shows financial health.
Supportive ifThe dividend of $2.25 per share is paid as scheduled.
Worry ifThe dividend is delayed or reduced.
Why it matters: Higher net earnings indicate strong financial performance. It supports management's goal to grow net income.
Supportive ifQ3 net earnings reported above $150 million.
Worry ifQ3 net earnings reported below $150 million.
Why it matters: Stable revenue shows the company is meeting its growth goals. This confirms management's focus on stability.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $2.4 billion.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $2.4 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$134 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $316 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,435 loss on $10,000 · 34.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growing operating income shows the company is making more money. This matches management's goal to increase income.
Supportive ifQ3 operating income was more than $100 million.
Worry ifQ3 operating income was less than $100 million.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial strength. It also shows how management uses money.
Supportive ifThe Board declares a quarterly cash dividend of $2.25 per share.
Worry ifThe Board reduces the dividend below $2.25 per share.