SHW
Sherwin-WilliamsNYSEMaterialsSpecialty ChemicalsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, SHW has a composite score of 18.2, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.2 and a moderate risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, inflation, labor, and rates, with sector conditions also impacting the overall assessment. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.19
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $3.55 → $3.50 (-1.3% / 30d). 2 raised, 16 cut, 20 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 4 maintained. 60% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 15.8% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
4 material events in the last 24 months — top 4 listed below.
- 2026-02-09SHW — credit agreementimpact 0.31
- 2026-02-09SHW — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.25
- 2025-10-01SHW — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.17
- 2025-10-01SHW — acquisition completedimpact 0.11
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase net sales by low to mid-single digit percentage in 2026growthbehind0% progress
4/28: “CEO: 'We expect consolidated Net sales to be up by a low to mid-single digit percentage compared to 2025.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net sales increased 6.8% in 2026-Q1 to $5.67 billion from $5.31 billion in 2025-Q1. The trajectory shows delivering on the stated growth target.
- 2.Maintain adjusted EPS guidance of $11.50 to $11.90 for 2026growthbehind0% progress
4/28: “CEO: 'Reaffirming full year 2026 adjusted diluted net income per share guidance in the range of $11.50 to $11.90 per share.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted diluted EPS increased 4.4% in 2026-Q1 to $2.35 from $2.25 in 2025-Q1. The trajectory aligns with the reaffirmed guidance range.
- 3.Implement targeted price increases across all businessesgrowthbehind0% progress
4/28: “CEO: 'We are continuing to implement targeted price increases by end market and geography across all of our businesses.'”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Net sales increased 6.8% in 2026-Q1 to $5.67 billion from $5.31 billion in 2025-Q1, indicating initial positive impact from pricing actions.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 33%; 252d 24%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −19%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLB) — 0.06 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 60/100, drawdown 63/100, beta 6/100, earnings vol —.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase net sales by low to mid-single digit percentage in 2026
GrowthSherwin-Williams aims to increase consolidated net sales by a low to mid-single digit percentage compared to 2025.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net sales increased 6.8% in 2026-Q1 to $5.67 billion from $5.31 billion in 2025-Q1. The trajectory shows delivering on the stated growth target.
0%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We expect consolidated Net sales to be up by a low to mid-single digit percentage compared to 2025.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“We expect consolidated Net sales to be up by a low to mid-single digit percentage compared to 2025.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“For the full year 2026, we expect consolidated Net sales to be up by a low to mid-single digit percentage compared to 2025.”
- #2
Maintain adjusted EPS guidance of $11.50 to $11.90 for 2026
GrowthSherwin-Williams reaffirms its full year 2026 adjusted diluted net income per share guidance in the range of $11.50 to $11.90.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted diluted EPS increased 4.4% in 2026-Q1 to $2.35 from $2.25 in 2025-Q1. The trajectory aligns with the reaffirmed guidance range.
0%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'Reaffirming full year 2026 adjusted diluted net income per share guidance in the range of $11.50 to $11.90 per share.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Reaffirming full year 2026 adjusted diluted net income per share guidance in the range of $11.50 to $11.90 per share.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Full year 2026 adjusted diluted net income per share guidance in the range of $11.50 to $11.90 per share.”
- #3
Implement targeted price increases across all businesses
GrowthSherwin-Williams plans to implement targeted price increases by end market and geography across all of its businesses.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Net sales increased 6.8% in 2026-Q1 to $5.67 billion from $5.31 billion in 2025-Q1, indicating initial positive impact from pricing actions.
0%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We are continuing to implement targeted price increases by end market and geography across all of our businesses.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“We are continuing to implement targeted price increases by end market and geography across all of our businesses.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SHW Sherwin-Williams | +18 | inexpensive | moderate |
LIN Linde plc | +24 | inexpensive | moderate |
NEM Newmont | +17 | inexpensive | elevated |
FCX Freeport-McMoRan | +6.4 | — | elevated |
CRH CRH plc | +9.4 | inexpensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If materials sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
- If materials sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-3.5 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2810d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, The Sherwin-Williams Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026 and certain other information. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Report as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Ex…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 52 - 2026-02-092mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 9, 2026, The Sherwin-Williams Company (“Sherwin-Williams”) entered into that certain Amendment No. 1 to the Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (“Amendment No. 1”) with Citicorp USA, Inc. (“CUSA”), as administrative agent and issuing bank, and the lenders party thereto. Amendment No. 1 amends that certain Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of November 17, 2025 (the “Credit Agreement”), among Sherwin-Williams, CUSA, as admi…
capital allocationneutralscore 9 - 2026-02-092mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information described in
capital allocationnegativescore 7 - 2026-01-293mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 29, 2026, The Sherwin-Williams Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025 and certain other information. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Report as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of th…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 7 - 2025-10-017mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. As previously disclosed, on August 8, 2025, The Sherwin-Williams Company (the “Company”) and Sherwin-Williams Luxembourg S.à r.l. (“SW Luxembourg”) entered into a 364-day senior unsecured delayed draw Term Loan Credit Agreement (the “DDTL Credit Agreement”) with the lenders party thereto and Citibank, N.A., as administrative agent. The DDTL Credit Agreement provided for (i) a $75…
capital allocationnegativescore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.