Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$41.53+5.70%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SMP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $42 SMP trades at 10× p/e, below its 14× p/e peer median. Our $45 fair value sits above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $33.69 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $104.93 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $19.93 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $54.62 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $50.22 |
| 7.5 |
| 9.64 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $55.72 | 14.6 | 3.82 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $56.04 | 13.5 | 4.14 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $51.31 | 0.6 | 80.33 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $62.38 | 15.1 | 4.14 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $39.19 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $40.00 | 9.7 | 4.14 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $60.21 | 13.5 | 4.45 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $57.25 | 14.6 | 3.92 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $70.90 | 13.5 | 5.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $58.02 | 0.6 | 90.83 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $78.92 | 15.1 | 5.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $50.61 | 9.7 | 5.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $58.28 | 14.6 | 3.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $76.81 | 13.5 | 5.67 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $62.86 | 0.6 | 98.41 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $85.51 | 15.1 | 5.67 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $54.83 | 9.7 | 5.67 | Analyst | medium |