SNA
Snap-onNYSEIndustrialsTools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, SNA has a composite score of 15.2, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 73.2 and a low risk label of 19.6. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, labor, rates, and inflation. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the information may be subject to change.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.05
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $5.03 → $4.95 (-1.5% / 30d). 2 raised, 4 cut, 7 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 40% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 3.3% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Maintain CAPEX at $100 million for 2026capital allocationbehind30% progress
4/23: “Snap-on projects that capital expenditures in 2026 will approximate $100 million.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Snap-on has consistently projected capital expenditures to approximate $100 million for 2026. This aligns with their previous guidance for 2025, indicating a stable capital allocation strategy. The financials do not show specific CAPEX figures, but the recurring guidance suggests a steady commitment to this target.
- 2.Maintain effective tax rate between 22% and 23% for 2026regulatorywatchprovisional
4/23: “Snap-on anticipates that its full-year 2026 effective income tax rate will be in the range of 22% to 23%.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Snap-on has maintained its guidance for an effective tax rate between 22% and 23% for 2026, consistent with its 2025 guidance. This suggests a stable regulatory strategy, though the financials do not provide specific tax rate outcomes for verification.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 30%; 252d 21%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −8%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.86 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 65/100, drawdown 83/100, beta 86/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Maintain CAPEX at $100 million for 2026
Capital allocationSnap-on plans to maintain capital expenditures at approximately $100 million for the fiscal year 2026.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Snap-on has consistently projected capital expenditures to approximate $100 million for 2026. This aligns with their previous guidance for 2025, indicating a stable capital allocation strategy. The financials do not show specific CAPEX figures, but the recurring guidance suggests a steady commitment to this target.
30%CEO/CFO:“Snap-on projects that capital expenditures in 2026 will approximate $100 million.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-23Show history (4)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“we project that capital expenditures in 2026 will approximate $100 million”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“In pursuit of these initiatives, we project that capital expenditures in 2026 will approximate $100 million.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“In pursuit of these initiatives, we project that capital expenditures in 2025 will approximate $100 million.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“In pursuit of these initiatives, we project that capital expenditures in 2025 will approximate $100 million.”
- #2
Maintain effective tax rate between 22% and 23% for 2026
RegulatorySnap-on anticipates its full-year 2026 effective income tax rate will be in the range of 22% to 23%.
WatchStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Snap-on has maintained its guidance for an effective tax rate between 22% and 23% for 2026, consistent with its 2025 guidance. This suggests a stable regulatory strategy, though the financials do not provide specific tax rate outcomes for verification.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“Snap-on anticipates that its full-year 2026 effective income tax rate will be in the range of 22% to 23%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-23provisionalShow history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Snap-on currently anticipates that its full-year 2026 effective income tax rate will be in the range of 22% to 23%”
- 2025-Q1Multiple sources
“Snap-on currently anticipates that its full-year 2025 effective income tax rate will be in the range of 22% to 23%.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SNA Snap-on | +15 | full | low |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2315d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 23, 2026, Snap-on Incorporated (the “Corporation”) issued a press release announcing results for its first quarter ended April 4, 2026. The text of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The press release contains cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results of the Corporation to differ materially from those described in any forward-looking statement…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 46 - 2026-02-053mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 5, 2026, Snap-on Incorporated (the “Corporation”) issued a press release announcing results for its fourth quarter ended January 3, 2026. The text of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The press release contains cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results of the Corporation to differ materially from those described in any forward-looking stat…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.