Sun Country Airlines (SNCY)
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$16.170.00%
Close 2026-05-13 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SNCY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SNCY — legal / regulatory event — Sun Country notified the Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“ Nasdaq ”) of the Closing…
Dated 2026-05-13
Sun Country notified the Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“ Nasdaq ”) of the Closing and requested that Nasdaq suspend trading of Sun Country Common Stock. As a result, trading of Sun Country Common Stock on Nasdaq was suspended prior to the opening of trading on the Closing Date. On the Closing Date, Sun Country also requested that Nasdaq file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “ SEC ”) a notification of removal from listing and registration on Form 25 to effect the delisting of S…
Why it matters: Expanding the cargo fleet is key to growth. It impacts revenue and operational efficiency.
Supportive ifSun Country adds two new cargo aircraft to its fleet by early third quarter 2026.
Worry ifSun Country delays or cancels the addition of new cargo aircraft.
Why it matters: The merger will change how Sun Country works and its place in the market.
Supportive ifThe merger will close on or before May 13, 2026, after getting shareholder approval.
Worry ifThe merger does not close by May 13, 2026, due to unmet conditions.
Why it matters: Completing the merger is key for growth and stability in the airline market.
Supportive ifAn official announcement says the merger is done. Operations are now combined.
Worry ifFurther delays or complications in the merger process.
Why it matters: Changes in capacity can affect revenue. They also impact how well the company runs.
Watch forScheduled service capacity increases by more than 5% in the second half of 2026.
Also watch forScheduled service capacity goes down more or stays the same.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$191 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $438 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,008 loss on $10,000 · 30.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This vote is important for finishing the merger with Allegiant. Approval lets the airlines work together.
Supportive ifShareholders of Allegiant and Sun Country approve the merger at their meetings.
Worry ifShareholders reject the merger plan at the special meetings.
Why it matters: Adding cargo aircraft is key for revenue growth. Successful deployment will strengthen Sun Country's cargo business.
Supportive ifTwo new cargo aircraft enter service by early Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe new cargo aircraft are delayed beyond Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If the merger happens, it could make Sun Country more efficient and stronger in the market.
Supportive ifThe merger will close on or before May 13, 2026, after shareholders approve it.
Worry ifThe merger does not close by May 13, 2026, due to unmet conditions.