VOLATO GROUP INC (SOAR)
AMEXIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.24+8.63%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SOAR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -83.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
SOAR — litigation filed
Dated 2026-08-28
Regulation FD Disclosure. On August 26, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the execution of the Merger Agreement. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, including for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or ot…
Why it matters: A merger agreement shows progress in Volato's AI plans. This could help growth and market position.
Supportive ifA merger agreement is announced. This confirms talks and a focus on strategy.
Worry ifNo merger agreement by the end of Q3 2026 shows stalled efforts.
Why it matters: This investment will strengthen Volato's balance sheet and support its AI strategy.
Supportive ifThe $2.2 million investment is complete. It helps Volato's finances.
Worry ifThe investment does not close. This affects Volato's ability to follow its AI strategy.
Why it matters: Successful money raises can help with cash flow and keep operations running.
Supportive ifThere is news of new stock sales that raise a lot of money.
Worry ifNo new equity offerings announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: News on acquisitions will show how well Volato is doing with its AI plans.
Watch forAn agreement for buying AI infrastructure will be announced.
Also watch forThere will be no news on AI acquisitions in the next few months.
Why it matters: A merger agreement would show that Volato is making progress with its AI plans.
Supportive ifA merger agreement will be announced in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo merger agreement is reached by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Following NYSE standards is important. It helps Volato stay listed and access the market.
Worry ifVolato fixes compliance issues. It meets the NYSE listing standards.
Less concerning ifVolato does not meet NYSE compliance. This risks delisting or more penalties.
Why it matters: Growth in the Vaunt marketplace is important. It helps Volato's revenue and market presence.
Supportive ifVaunt cash sales grow year over year by more than 199% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifVaunt cash sales show less than 100% year-over-year growth in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Regaining compliance is key for Volato to stay listed. Not doing so could hurt investor trust.
Worry ifVolato meets NYSE compliance rules by the deadline.
Less concerning ifVolato fails to meet compliance standards or receives a notice of delisting.
Why it matters: This investment will help Volato's finances and support its AI plans. It shows that investors trust the company's path.
Supportive ifThe investment closes. Funding is received as planned.
Worry ifThe investment fails to close or is significantly delayed.
Why it matters: New M&A agreements could enhance growth and stabilize revenue streams.
Supportive ifA press release shares new M&A deals or successful integrations.
Worry ifNo new M&A announcements or more terminations of agreements.
Why it matters: Closing this merger is key for Volato's AI infrastructure strategy. It could boost growth and market position.
Supportive ifThe merger closes on time. It meets all the conditions in the agreement.
Worry ifThe merger has delays or does not meet closing conditions. This affects Volato's strategy.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$548 on $10,000 · ±5.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,449 loss on $10,000 · 14.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,641 loss on $10,000 · 96.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.