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SOLV

Solventum

NYSEHealth CareMedical Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-05-08

$73.38+2.41%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, SOLV has a composite score of 30.4 and a signal label of "favorable." This change from "mild_favorable" to "favorable" is driven by a significant increase in the company momentum score, which rose by 101.0 points to 61.2, and a 19.3 point increase in the composite insight score to 30.4, both following fresh earnings. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +30as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 20% of health care cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    0.29
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.39
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
3812141690-1249
F2 · Value
cheap
Cheapest 10% of health care cohort
Why this rank
Price
$73.38
TTM EPS
$9.80
Earnings yield
13.4%
P/E (TTM)
7.5

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 20% cash conversion in health care cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
479
TTM CFO ($M)
1,185
CFO/NI
2.47
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
stable
Top 30% activity in health care cohort· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish strongEPS revised +14.4% / 30d, n=10for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.66 → $1.90 (+14.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 10 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 7 maintained. 43% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 28.4% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

2 material events in the last 24 months — top 2 listed below.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Achieve organic sales growth of 2.0% to 3.0% in 2026growthbehind0% progress
    2/26: Solventum is affirming its full year 2026 guidance: Organic sales growth of +2.0% to +3.0%.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Solventum's guidance for 2026 targets organic sales growth of 2.0% to 3.0%. Revenue was $1.998B in 2025-Q4, down from $2.074B in 2024-Q4, indicating a need for growth. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.

  2. 2.Maintain adjusted EPS guidance of $6.40 to $6.60 for 2026growthbehind0% progress
    5/5: Adjusted EPS will be toward the high end of existing $6.40 to $6.60 guidance range.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Solventum's adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 is $6.40 to $6.60. Diluted EPS was $7.22 in 2025-Q3, indicating a strong prior performance. Recurring focus, narrow delivery so far.

  3. 3.Achieve free cash flow of ~$200M for 2026capital allocationmixed30% progress
    5/5: Free cash flow of ~$200M.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Solventum's free cash flow target for 2026 is ~$200M. Operating cash flow was $271M in 2025-Q4, showing a positive cash generation trend. Recurring focus, narrow delivery so far.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −27%, typical day ±1.3%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 28%; 252d 28%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −27%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLV) 0.82 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 98/100.

Sub-scores — vol 53/100, drawdown 45/100, beta 82/100, earnings vol .

Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.

Sector regime
headwind-15.1%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLV

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. earnings refresh · company_momentum_score
    severity 100

    Company momentum rose by 101.0 points (from -39.8 to 61.2) after fresh earnings.

  2. earnings refresh · composite_insight_score
    severity 39

    Composite insight rose by 19.3 points (from 11.1 to 30.4) after fresh earnings.

  3. earnings refresh · signal_label
    severity 20

    Signal changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'favorable' after fresh earnings.

As of 2026-05-08, the company momentum score for SOLV rose by 101.0 points, from -39.8 to 61.2, and the composite insight score increased by 19.3 points, from 11.1 to 30.4, following fresh earnings. Additionally, the signal label changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'favorable' after the earnings update.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite55.9 / 100Provisional · capped at 85
Capital allocation84
Earnings discipline27
Margin discipline33
Balance sheet
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction48
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Achieve organic sales growth of 2.0% to 3.0% in 2026

    Growth

    Solventum aims for organic sales growth of 2.0% to 3.0% for the full year 2026, excluding SKU exit impacts.

    Behind

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Solventum's guidance for 2026 targets organic sales growth of 2.0% to 3.0%. Revenue was $1.998B in 2025-Q4, down from $2.074B in 2024-Q4, indicating a need for growth. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:Solventum is affirming its full year 2026 guidance: Organic sales growth of +2.0% to +3.0%.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-26
    Show history (2)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      Introduces full-year 2026 organic sales growth, adjusted EPS and free cash flow guidance.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      Expects full year organic sales growth to be at the high end of +2.0% to +3.0% range.

  • #2

    Maintain adjusted EPS guidance of $6.40 to $6.60 for 2026

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-05

    Solventum aims to achieve adjusted EPS toward the high end of the $6.40 to $6.60 range for 2026.

    Behind

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Solventum's adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 is $6.40 to $6.60. Diluted EPS was $7.22 in 2025-Q3, indicating a strong prior performance. Recurring focus, narrow delivery so far.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:Adjusted EPS will be toward the high end of existing $6.40 to $6.60 guidance range.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-05-05Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-05
    Show history (2)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      Adjusted EPS of $6.40 to $6.60.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      Increases full year adjusted earnings per share outlook to $5.98 to $6.08.

  • #3

    Achieve free cash flow of ~$200M for 2026

    Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-05

    Solventum targets free cash flow of approximately $200 million for the full year 2026.

    Mixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Solventum's free cash flow target for 2026 is ~$200M. Operating cash flow was $271M in 2025-Q4, showing a positive cash generation trend. Recurring focus, narrow delivery so far.

    30%
    CEO/CFO:Free cash flow of ~$200M.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-05-05Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-05
    Show history (2)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      Free cash flow of ~$200M.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      Revised free cash flow to a range of $150M to $250M.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
85higher = cheaper

Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.

Compared to its own history
89higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
11.5x
EV/EBITDA
3.3x
FCF yield
-1.6%

P/E over the last 5 years

26 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
SOLV
Solventum
+30inexpensivemoderate
LLY
Lilly (Eli)
+21fullmoderate
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
+18fulllow
ABBV
AbbVie
+12fairlow
UNH
UnitedHealth Group
+24fairelevated
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.3%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.6%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-27.5%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If health_care sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.8 pts
  • If health_care sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-053d agoItem 2.02

    hereof) 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded in the Inline XBRL document). SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. SOLVENTUM CORPORATION By: /s/ Wayde McMillan Wayde McMillan Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (Principal Financial Officer) Dated: May 5, 2026

    earnings preannouncementscore 61
  2. 2026-03-241mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On March 20, 2026, Mary Wilcox informed Solventum Corporation (the “Company”) of her intent to retire and resign from her position as Chief Accounting Officer of the Company following a search for and appointment of her successor.

    executive changeneutralscore 20
  3. 2026-02-262mo agoItem 2.02

    hereof) 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded in the Inline XBRL document). SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. SOLVENTUM CORPORATION By: /s/ Matthew M. Rice Matthew M. Rice Vice President, Associate General Counsel & Assistant Secretary Dated: February 26, 2026

    earnings preannouncementnegativescore 15
  4. 2025-10-216mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On October 21, 2025, Solventum Corporation (the “Company”) announced that Heather Knight has been appointed to serve in the newly created role of Chief Commercial Officer of the Company, effective as of November 10, 2025. Ms. Knight will oversee all global commercial and R&D operations across the Company’s MedSurg, Dental Solutions and Health Infor…

    executive changeneutralscore 1
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-27 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.