SRE
SempraNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, SRE has a composite score of 5.4 and a signal label of "mixed." The valuation score increased significantly by 37.6 points to 51.5, while the company momentum score rose by 34.0 points to 12.3. The valuation label changed from "expensive" to "fair," indicating improved perceptions of value. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.10
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.99 → $1.01 (+1.9% / 30d). 2 raised, 3 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 74% of analysts rate Buy.
4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 15.7% above current price.
0 positive, 2 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Affirm full-year 2026 EPS guidancegrowthbehind30% progress
5/7: “Sempra is affirming its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30.”
Why this status
Stated in 5 of last 5 quarters. Sempra has consistently affirmed its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30. Despite an earnings miss reported on 2026-05-07, the company maintains this guidance, indicating a focus on achieving these targets. The trajectory shows persistent affirmation, but financial performance needs to align with guidance.
- 2.Affirm full-year 2027 EPS guidancegrowthmixed65% progress
5/7: “affirming its full-year 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Sempra has affirmed its full-year 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70. The company continues to project growth into 2027, despite recent financial challenges such as the earnings miss reported on 2026-05-07. The trajectory is focused on future growth, but current financials need to support this outlook.
- 3.Issue full-year 2030 EPS Outlookgrowthmixed65% progress
2/26: “Sempra is also issuing full-year 2030 Outlook in an EPS range of $6.70 to $7.50.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Sempra has issued a full-year 2030 EPS Outlook in the range of $6.70 to $7.50. This long-term projection indicates a strategic focus on sustained growth. However, current financials, including a recent earnings miss, suggest that achieving this long-term target will require significant progress.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 18%; 252d 20%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −9%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.03 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 68/100, drawdown 82/100, beta 3/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · valuation_scoreseverity 75
Valuation rose by 37.6 points (from 13.9 to 51.5).
- score change · company_momentum_scoreseverity 57
Company momentum rose by 34.0 points (from -21.7 to 12.3).
- score change · composite_insight_scoreseverity 34
Composite insight rose by 16.9 points (from -11.5 to 5.4).
- label change · signal_labelseverity 20
Signal changed from 'cautious' to 'mixed'.
- label change · valuation_labelseverity 20
Valuation label changed from 'expensive' to 'fair'.
As of 2026-05-08, the valuation score for SRE rose by 37.6 points, changing from 13.9 to 51.5. The company momentum score increased by 34.0 points, moving from -21.7 to 12.3. The signal label changed from 'cautious' to 'mixed', and the valuation label changed from 'expensive' to 'fair'. The composite insight score also rose by 16.9 points, from -11.5 to 5.4.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Affirm full-year 2026 EPS guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-07Sempra continues to affirm its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30.
BehindStated in 5 of last 5 quarters. Sempra has consistently affirmed its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30. Despite an earnings miss reported on 2026-05-07, the company maintains this guidance, indicating a focus on achieving these targets. The trajectory shows persistent affirmation, but financial performance needs to align with guidance.
30%CEO/CFO:“Sempra is affirming its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-07Stated 5 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-07Show history (5)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Sempra is affirming its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Sempra is affirming its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“affirming its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“affirming its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30”
- 2025-Q1Multiple sources
“affirming its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70”
- #2
Affirm full-year 2027 EPS guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-07Sempra is affirming its full-year 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Sempra has affirmed its full-year 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70. The company continues to project growth into 2027, despite recent financial challenges such as the earnings miss reported on 2026-05-07. The trajectory is focused on future growth, but current financials need to support this outlook.
65%CEO/CFO:“affirming its full-year 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-07Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-07Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“affirming its full-year 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Sempra is also announcing a full-year 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70.”
- #3
Issue full-year 2030 EPS Outlook
GrowthSempra is issuing a full-year 2030 EPS Outlook in the range of $6.70 to $7.50.
MixedNewly stated in 2025-Q4. Sempra has issued a full-year 2030 EPS Outlook in the range of $6.70 to $7.50. This long-term projection indicates a strategic focus on sustained growth. However, current financials, including a recent earnings miss, suggest that achieving this long-term target will require significant progress.
65%CEO/CFO:“Sempra is also issuing full-year 2030 Outlook in an EPS range of $6.70 to $7.50.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-26Show history (1)
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Sempra is also issuing full-year 2030 Outlook in an EPS range of $6.70 to $7.50.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
26 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SRE Sempra | +5.4 | fair | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-05-07)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-05-07)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-072d agoItem 2.02
and in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference in any filing of Sempra, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 76 - 2026-04-1722d agoItem 7.01
shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference in any filing of Sempra, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing. Forward-Looking Statements This report contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions about the future…
legal regulatorynegativescore 31
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.