Constellation Brands (STZ)
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - BrewersSnapshot 2026-07-07
$131.72+0.80%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track STZ free→NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - BrewersSnapshot 2026-07-07
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Track STZ free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 20%.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskConstellation Brands needs to improve its growth to justify its current price. Revenue has been steady, but it fell 3% year over year in the latest quarter. The stock trades at a low valuation compared to peers, which implies a price about 30% above where it trades. If the company cuts guidance on the next call, it could face a 20% chance of missing estimates. Peer multiples imply a price about 30% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. STZ is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 23 analysts currently covering STZ (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 10 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for STZ in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $131.72. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Demand concerns could hinder organic growth in Beer Business.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $131.72
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $131.72.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Disciplined capital allocation approach
Increased marketing spend supports disciplined capital allocation.
New leadership may enhance strategic direction and execution.
Earnings beat indicates strong performance.
CEO comments on economic pressures.
Earnings beat indicates operational strength.
Outlook cut due to weak demand.
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Weak earnings impact retail sentiment.