Swarmer, Inc. (SWMR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$32.24-2.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SWMR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SWMR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2026, Swarmer, Inc issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by refere…
Why it matters: Further losses would show the company is struggling to improve its finances. This is key for investor confidence.
Worry ifOperating income worsens to worse than -$7.28M in Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating income improves to better than -$7.28M in Q3.
Why it matters: New agreements may show growth. They can also support the company's market expansion.
Supportive ifA new agreement or licensing deal may be announced in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new agreements or licensing deals announced in the next quarter.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$482 on $10,000 · ±4.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,338 loss on $10,000 · 13.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,950 loss on $10,000 · 59.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.