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SYY

Sysco

NYSEConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-05-08

$72.44-0.60%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, SYY has a composite score of 19.8 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 71.6 and strengths in management (72.8) and quality (73.5). However, there are unfavorable scenarios that could impact the score, including potential guidance cuts and sector trends weakening. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +20as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.01
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
681887800692
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$72.44
TTM EPS
$3.44
Earnings yield
4.7%
P/E (TTM)
21.1

Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,797
TTM CFO ($M)
2,656
CFO/NI
1.48
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
volatile
Bottom 10% activity in consumer staples cohort· see deep-dive ↓
capital friendlyTop 20% capital-friendly in consumer staples cohort
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral14 analysts, 53% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.51 → $1.51 (-0.0% / 30d). 4 raised, 6 cut, 14 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 53% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 15.2% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Achieve sales growth of 3% to 5%growthmixed23% progress
    3/30: Sysco is reiterating its outlook for sales growth of 3% to 5%.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Sales increased 4.7% in 2026-Q2, aligning with the 3% to 5% growth target. Despite positive sales growth, the trajectory shows limited progress in achieving the upper end of the target range.

  2. 2.Reach high end of EPS guidancegrowthmixed23% progress
    4/28: We are confident in delivering full-year adjusted EPS at the high end of our $4.50 to $4.60 guidance range.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EPS decreased 2.1% to $0.94 in 2026-Q2, indicating challenges in reaching the high end of the $4.50 to $4.60 guidance range. The trajectory shows limited progress towards the target.

  3. 3.Maintain confidence in Q3 EPSgrowthmixed23% progress
    3/30: Sysco remains confident in the previously announced consensus outlook for adjusted EPS of approximately $0.94.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EPS decreased 2.1% to $0.94 in 2026-Q2, matching the consensus outlook. Despite maintaining confidence, the trajectory shows limited progress in exceeding the target.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −24%, typical day ±0.7%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 55%; 252d 27%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −24%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLP) 0.88 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 55/100, drawdown 52/100, beta 88/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-11.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLP

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite72.8 / 100
Capital allocation73
Earnings discipline69
Margin discipline74
Balance sheet83
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction57

Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 0.0% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Achieve sales growth of 3% to 5%

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Sysco aims to achieve sales growth of 3% to 5% for fiscal year 2026.

    BehindMixed

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Sales increased 4.7% in 2026-Q2, aligning with the 3% to 5% growth target. Despite positive sales growth, the trajectory shows limited progress in achieving the upper end of the target range.

    23%
    CEO/CFO:Sysco is reiterating its outlook for sales growth of 3% to 5%.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-03-30Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q2Press release

      Sales increased 4.7%; U.S. Foodservice volume increased 2.3%, U.S. local volume increased 3.3%.

    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      Sysco is reiterating its outlook for sales growth of 3% to 5%.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      Sales growth of 3%-5%.

  • #2

    Reach high end of EPS guidance

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Sysco aims to deliver full-year adjusted EPS at the high end of its $4.50 to $4.60 guidance range.

    BehindMixed

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EPS decreased 2.1% to $0.94 in 2026-Q2, indicating challenges in reaching the high end of the $4.50 to $4.60 guidance range. The trajectory shows limited progress towards the target.

    Adjusted EPS decreased 2.1% to $0.94 in 2026-Q2
    23%
    CEO/CFO:We are confident in delivering full-year adjusted EPS at the high end of our $4.50 to $4.60 guidance range.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q2Multiple sources

      We are confident in delivering full-year adjusted EPS at the high end of our $4.50 to $4.60 guidance range.

    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      Adjusted EPS to be at the high end of $4.50 to $4.60.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      Fiscal year 2026 financial guidance for adjusted EPS at the high end of $4.50 to $4.60.

  • #3

    Maintain confidence in Q3 EPS

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Sysco remains confident in achieving the consensus outlook for adjusted EPS of approximately $0.94 for Q3 2026.

    BehindMixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EPS decreased 2.1% to $0.94 in 2026-Q2, matching the consensus outlook. Despite maintaining confidence, the trajectory shows limited progress in exceeding the target.

    Adjusted EPS decreased 2.1% to $0.94 in 2026-Q2
    23%
    CEO/CFO:Sysco remains confident in the previously announced consensus outlook for adjusted EPS of approximately $0.94.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-03-30Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q2Multiple sources

      Sysco remains confident in the previously announced consensus outlook for adjusted EPS of approximately $0.94.

    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      The company also remains confident in third quarter 2026 consensus adjusted EPS of $0.94.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
59higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
97higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
16.0x
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield
5.7%

P/E over the last 5 years

56 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
SYY
Sysco
+20inexpensivemoderate
WMT
Walmart
-9.3expensivelow
COST
Costco
+3.9expensivemoderate
PG
Procter & Gamble
+15fairlow
KO
Coca-Cola Company (The)
+14fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.7%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.1%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-24.0%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
  • If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2810d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, Sysco Corporation (“Sysco”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations and financial condition for its third quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended on March 28, 2026. Sysco hereby incorporates by reference herein the information set forth in its press release dated April 28, 2026 (the “Press Release”), a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Except for the historical information contained in this…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 52
  2. 2026-04-2018d agoItem 1.01

    Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On April 16, 2026, Sysco Corporation (“ Sysco ”), a Delaware corporation, and its wholly-owned subsidiaries, Sysco Canada, Inc., a British Columbia corporation (“ Sysco Canada ”), and Sysco Global Holdings B.V., a Netherlands limited liability company (together with Sysco Canada, the “ Subsidiary Borrowers ”), entered into a Credit Agreement with Bank of America, N.A., as the administrative agent, and the lenders and guarantors party thereto (the “ N…

    capital allocationneutralscore 43
  3. 2026-04-2018d agoItem 2.03

    Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in

    capital allocationnegativescore 34
  4. 2026-03-301mo agoItem 1.01

    Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Merger Agreement On March 30, 2026, Sysco Corporation, a Delaware corporation (“ Sysco ”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “ Merger Agreement ”) with JRD Unico, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“ JRD ”), Warehouse Realty, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company (“ Warehouse Realty ”, together with JRD, known as “ Jetro Restaurant Depot ”), New Slider Holdco, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a wholly owned subsidiary of Sysco (“ Hold…

    mna activitypositivescore 27
  5. 2026-03-301mo agoItem 2.02

    of this report, including the Press Release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and the Investor Presentation attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement filed by Sysco under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated therein by reference.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 26
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-01-28 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.