TEL
TE ConnectivityNYSEInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, TEL has a composite score of 24.5 and is labeled as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a high confidence level of 81.2, with notable strengths in macro factors (32.3) and quality (61.3). The analysis is provisional, reflecting potential changes based on various scenarios, including guidance cuts and sector trends.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.04
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.78 → $2.84 (+2.3% / 30d). 12 raised, 0 cut, 14 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 5 maintained. 68% of analysts rate Buy.
6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 14.8% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
7 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-02-17TEL — credit agreementimpact 0.32
- 2026-02-17TEL — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.25
- 2026-02-09TEL — debt issuanceimpact 0.25
- 2026-02-17TEL — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitiveimpact 0.17
- 2024-11-12TEL — President transitionimpact 0.13
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve double-digit sales growthgrowthmixed60% progress
4/22: “Looking ahead to the third quarter, our ongoing orders momentum across all businesses positions us to deliver double digit sales growth to $5 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $4.3B in 2025-Q3 to $4.7B in 2026-Q2, indicating progress towards the double-digit sales growth target. However, the trajectory shows limited progress as the growth is not yet double-digit.
- 2.Increase adjusted EPS by 17%growthmixed60% progress
4/22: “Adjusted EPS is expected to be approximately $2.83, an increase of 17% year over year.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS increased from $2.53 in 2026-Q1 to $2.9 in 2026-Q2, showing progress towards the 17% increase target. The trajectory is delivering as EPS growth aligns with management's guidance.
- 3.Maintain orders momentumgrowthmixed60% progress
4/22: “Our ongoing orders momentum across all businesses positions us to deliver double digit sales growth.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. While management emphasizes maintaining orders momentum, there is limited substantive delivery evidence this quarter. The focus remains on achieving future growth targets.
Guidance track record
Last 4 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | $1.96 | $0.04 | unclassifiable |
| 2025-06-30 | $2.06 | $2.27 | unclassifiable |
| 2025-09-30 | $2.18 | $2.44 | unclassifiable |
| 2025-12-31 | $1.64 – $1.88 | $2.72 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 47%; 252d 33%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −21%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.07 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 45/100, drawdown 58/100, beta 7/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 54.5% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve double-digit sales growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Management aims to achieve double-digit sales growth across all businesses.
Behind →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $4.3B in 2025-Q3 to $4.7B in 2026-Q2, indicating progress towards the double-digit sales growth target. However, the trajectory shows limited progress as the growth is not yet double-digit.
60%CEO/CFO:“Looking ahead to the third quarter, our ongoing orders momentum across all businesses positions us to deliver double digit sales growth to $5 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Looking ahead to the third quarter, our ongoing orders momentum across all businesses positions us to deliver double digit sales growth to $5 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Expecting sales of $17B+”
- #2
Increase adjusted EPS by 17%
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Management aims to increase adjusted EPS by 17% year over year.
Behind →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS increased from $2.53 in 2026-Q1 to $2.9 in 2026-Q2, showing progress towards the 17% increase target. The trajectory is delivering as EPS growth aligns with management's guidance.
60%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted EPS is expected to be approximately $2.83, an increase of 17% year over year.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Adjusted EPS is expected to be approximately $2.83, an increase of 17% year over year.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Adjusted EPS of ~$2.65, increasing 20% Y/Y”
- #3
Maintain orders momentum
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Management focuses on maintaining momentum in orders across all business segments.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q2. While management emphasizes maintaining orders momentum, there is limited substantive delivery evidence this quarter. The focus remains on achieving future growth targets.
60%CEO/CFO:“Our ongoing orders momentum across all businesses positions us to deliver double digit sales growth.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Our ongoing orders momentum across all businesses positions us to deliver double digit sales growth.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TEL TE Connectivity | +25 | fair | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-22)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-22)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2216d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 22, 2026, TE Connectivity plc (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting the Company’s second quarter results for fiscal 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and incorporated by reference in this
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 45 - 2026-02-172mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On February 13, 2026, TE Connectivity plc (the “Company”) entered into a Five-Year Senior Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”), by and among the Company, as parent guarantor, its wholly-owned subsidiary TE Connectivity Switzerland Ltd. (the “Intermediate Guarantor”), as intermediate guarantor, its wholly-owned subsidiary, Tyco Electronics Group S.A. (“TEGSA”), as borrower, the lenders party thereto (the “Lenders”) and Bank of America, N.A., as a…
capital allocationneutralscore 10 - 2026-02-172mo agoItem 1.02
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement The information contained in
mna activitynegativescore 8 - 2026-02-172mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant The information contained in
capital allocationnegativescore 8 - 2026-02-092mo agoItem 8.01
OTHER EVENTS. On February 9, 2026, Tyco Electronics Group S.A. (“TEGSA”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of TE Connectivity plc (“TE Connectivity”), issued $200,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 4.500% Senior Notes due 2031 (the “Additional 2031 Notes”) and $550,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 4.875% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “2036 Notes” and, together with the Additional 2031 Notes, the “Notes”). The Additional 2031 Notes will constitute a further issuance of, form a single ser…
capital allocationneutralscore 7
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.