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TFC

Truist Financial

NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-05-08

$49.11-1.27%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, TFC has a composite score of 9.3 and a signal label of "mixed." The score reflects a medium confidence level of 76.6, with strengths in valuation at 70.9, categorized as "inexpensive," and weaknesses in macro factors, particularly a macro score of -7.7. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the current assessments may change.

Composite +9.3as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 10% of financials cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    -0.06
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.79
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
136515131737-5216
F2 · Value
cheap
Cheapest 30% of financials cohort
Why this rank
Price
$49.11
TTM EPS
$3.74
Earnings yield
7.6%
P/E (TTM)
13.1

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
fragile
Bottom 20% cash conversion in financials cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
4,840
TTM CFO ($M)
2,164
CFO/NI
0.45
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
capital friendlyTop 30% capital-friendly in financials cohort

Buyback / dividend activity on weakening fundamentals — historically a value-trap pattern (48% T+1y positive return vs 69% baseline in IT 2024-26).

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish14 analysts, 50% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.11 → $1.08 (-2.9% / 30d). 2 raised, 11 cut, 14 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 3 maintained. 50% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 4.9% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.

2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −21%, typical day ±1.0%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 24%; 252d 23%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −21%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLF) 1.23 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 61/100, drawdown 59/100, beta 77/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-9.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLF

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite47.4 / 100
Capital allocation33
Earnings discipline84
Margin discipline18
Balance sheet55
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction55
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
66higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
71higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
11.9x
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield
8.8%

P/E over the last 5 years

59 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
TFC
Truist Financial
+9.3inexpensivemoderate
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
+6.0moderate
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
-0.9fulllow
V
Visa Inc.
+20low
MA
Mastercard
+15fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.0%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.2%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-20.7%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
  • If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2025-01-17)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2025-01-17)-8.0 pts
  • If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-017d agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As discussed below, at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders (the “Annual Meeting”) of Truist Financial Corporation (the “Corporation”) held on April 28, 2026, the Corporation’s shareholders approved the amendment and restatement of the Truist Financial Corporation 2022 Incentive Plan (the “A&R Plan”). A description of the material terms of the A…

    executive changeneutralscore 48
  2. 2026-04-1722d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 17, 2026, Truist Financial Corporation (“Truist”) issued a press release announcing its reporting of first quarter 2026 results and posted on its website its first quarter 2026 Earnings Release, Quarterly Performance Summary, and Earnings Release Presentation. The materials contain forward-looking statements regarding Truist and include cautionary language identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 40
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-24 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.