Tiptree, Inc. (TIPT)
NASDAQFinancialsInsurance - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.49-0.54%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsInsurance - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TIPT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 100.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 121.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TIPT — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-29
Regulation FD Disclosure. Included in the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1 was an announcement of the proposed Transaction, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. Also included in the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1 was an announcement that the board of directors of the Company has declared a cash dividend of $0.06 per share to Tiptree’s stockholders, with a record date of August 17, 2026 and a payment date of August 24, 2026. The inf…
Why it matters: Closing the Fortegra sale will provide cash to support future growth and investments.
Supportive ifThe company announced the Fortegra sale is complete. They expect to get $1.12 billion.
Worry ifIf the Fortegra sale is delayed or fails, it will hurt cash flow and plans.
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops below the median, it could signal a slowdown in the financial sector.
Worry ifRevenue growth in the financial sector falls below its median of 15%.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth in the financial sector remains at or above its median of 15%.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below its median, it signals a slowdown in the financial sector. This could affect Tiptree's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth drops below 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays above 15% year over year.
Why it matters: Share repurchases can signal management's confidence in the company's value. It also impacts share supply and can support stock price.
Supportive ifTiptree announces a new $20 million share buyback program.
Worry ifNo share buybacks are announced or done in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$84 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $299 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,786 loss on $10,000 · 37.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows Tiptree's commitment to giving value to shareholders. Missing a payment may raise worries about finances.
Supportive ifThe dividend of $0.06 per share is paid on the scheduled date.
Worry ifThe dividend payment is delayed or canceled.
Why it matters: Completing this acquisition is key for Tiptree's growth strategy. It could boost revenue and market position.
Supportive ifLook for news that the Fortegra deal is done.
Worry ifWatch for news about delays or problems with the Fortegra acquisition.
Why it matters: Changes in book value show the company's financial health and affect investors.
Watch forBook value per share rises above $24.34, showing strong financial performance.
Also watch forBook value per share drops below $23.80, suggesting possible financial issues.
Why it matters: Keeping the $0.06 dividend shows good money management. It also shows care for shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of the $0.06 dividend per share for the next payment date.
Worry ifIf the dividend is cut or stopped, it may mean money problems.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal shows Tiptree wants to grow its specialty insurance business.
Supportive ifThe deal will close in Q1 2027 after getting all needed approvals.
Worry ifThe acquisition fails to close or faces significant delays beyond Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows good money management. It also helps shareholders.
Supportive ifTiptree continues to declare a dividend of $0.06 per share in subsequent quarters.
Worry ifTiptree cuts or suspends the dividend in future announcements.