TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc (TOMZ)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$2.18-2.24%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TOMZ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 2 industry peers
TOMZ — CFO transition
Dated 2026-10-16
CFO — Niroshan Srirathan: The filing announces the appointment of the Interim CFO to the permanent CFO role, which is an internal promotion rather than a departure.
Why it matters: TOMI needs strong second-half sales to meet its 2026 revenue goal. Q3 results test whether orders turn into sales.
Supportive ifOn November 13, Q3 results show revenue of at least $3.0 million, keeping the company on pace for $12 million in 2026.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $3.0 million, or management cuts its 2026 goal below $12 million.
Why it matters: TOMI has approvals in 11 European countries and named more countries where it seeks approval. New approvals could open sales through local partners.
Supportive ifTOMI reports approval in at least one named pending country, such as France, Ireland, Poland, Portugal, or Romania. It also reports sales through a local partner.
Worry ifNo named country gains approval, or TOMI reports no partner sales in Europe in its next update.
Why it matters: TOMI reported $2.6 million in post-quarter backlog and over $6.2 million in booked orders and expected work. Sales from these orders would support its full-year goal.
Supportive ifThe November 13 update shows Q3 sales from backlog. Year-end booked orders and expected work stay above $6.2 million.
Worry ifThe update shows little backlog conversion. Year-end booked orders and expected work fall below $6.2 million.
Why it matters: TOMI delivered custom iHP chambers to a medical device maker and said this work advanced its FDA clearance process. A clear filing or decision would mark progress.
Supportive ifTOMI announces an FDA 510(k) submission, clearance, or a stated next review step for its iHP chamber.
Worry ifTOMI reports that the FDA filing is delayed, rejected, or needs more data before review can proceed.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$229 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $869 loss on $10,000 · 8.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,080 loss on $10,000 · 60.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: TOMI is still losing money, though its Q2 operating loss narrowed. Reaching cash break-even would show that rising sales cover cash costs.
Supportive ifThe November 13 results show cash from operations at zero or above. Operating costs are no higher than Q2's $1.63 million.
Worry ifThe results show cash used in operations and an operating loss above Q2's $244,142.