TPR
Tapestry, Inc.NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryLuxury GoodsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, TPR has a composite score of 24.3 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 71.2 and elevated risk, with strengths in management (73.4) and momentum (76.3), while the sector score is low at 12.3. The analysis is provisional, reflecting recent changes in macroeconomic conditions and sector trends.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.38
- Slope (norm)0.49
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.16 → $1.16 (+0.7% / 30d). 4 raised, 0 cut, 18 covering analysts.
1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 7 maintained. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 19.6% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase revenue to over $7.75 billion in FY 2026growthmixed65% progressprovisional
2/5: “Tapestry is raising its Fiscal 2026 outlook... Revenue of over $7.75 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue guidance increased from $7.2 billion in 2025-Q4 to over $7.75 billion in 2026-Q2, indicating a growth trajectory. The company is delivering on its revenue growth target with consistent upward revisions.
- 2.Achieve EPS growth of over 35% in FY 2026growthon track100% progress
5/7: “Earnings per diluted share in the area of $6.95, representing growth of over 35%.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. EPS guidance increased from $5.30-$5.45 in 2025-Q4 to $6.95 in 2026-Q2, reflecting a strong growth trajectory. The company is delivering on its EPS growth target with consistent upward revisions.
- 3.Return $1.5 billion to shareholders in FY 2026capital allocationmixed65% progressprovisional
2/5: “The Company now expects to return $1.5 billion, which is approximately 100 percent of its anticipated adjusted free cash flow.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Free cash flow guidance increased from $1.3 billion in 2025-Q4 to $1.5 billion in 2026-Q2, indicating a commitment to capital return. The company is delivering on its capital allocation target with consistent upward revisions.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 55%; 252d 42%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −18%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLY) — 0.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 30/100, drawdown 63/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol —.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase revenue to over $7.75 billion in FY 2026
GrowthTapestry aims to achieve revenue growth of over 11% in fiscal year 2026.
MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue guidance increased from $7.2 billion in 2025-Q4 to over $7.75 billion in 2026-Q2, indicating a growth trajectory. The company is delivering on its revenue growth target with consistent upward revisions.
Revenue grew from $7.2 billion to over $7.75 billion in FY 202665%CEO/CFO:“Tapestry is raising its Fiscal 2026 outlook... Revenue of over $7.75 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-05provisionalShow history (3)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Revenue of over $7.75 billion, representing approximately 11% growth.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Revenue in the area of $7.3 billion, representing 4% to 5% growth.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Revenue approaching $7.2 billion, representing low-single-digit growth.”
- #2
Achieve EPS growth of over 35% in FY 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-07Tapestry targets earnings per diluted share of $6.95, exceeding previous guidance.
On trackStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. EPS guidance increased from $5.30-$5.45 in 2025-Q4 to $6.95 in 2026-Q2, reflecting a strong growth trajectory. The company is delivering on its EPS growth target with consistent upward revisions.
EPS guidance increased from $5.30-$5.45 to $6.95 in FY 2026100%CEO/CFO:“Earnings per diluted share in the area of $6.95, representing growth of over 35%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-07Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-07Show history (4)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Earnings per diluted share of $6.40 to $6.45, representing growth over 25%.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Earnings per diluted share of $5.45 to $5.60, representing 7% to 10% growth.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Earnings per diluted share of $5.30 to $5.45, representing 4% to 7% growth.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Earnings per diluted share in the area of $5.00, representing a high-teens percentage growth rate.”
- #3
Return $1.5 billion to shareholders in FY 2026
Capital allocationTapestry plans to return approximately 100% of its adjusted free cash flow to shareholders.
MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Free cash flow guidance increased from $1.3 billion in 2025-Q4 to $1.5 billion in 2026-Q2, indicating a commitment to capital return. The company is delivering on its capital allocation target with consistent upward revisions.
Free cash flow guidance increased from $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion in FY 202665%CEO/CFO:“The Company now expects to return $1.5 billion, which is approximately 100 percent of its anticipated adjusted free cash flow.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-05provisionalShow history (3)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“The Company now expects to return $1.5 billion, which is approximately 100 percent of its anticipated adjusted free cash flow.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Adjusted free cash flow of $1.3 billion versus prior guidance for adjusted free cash flow to approach $1.3 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Adjusted free cash flow approaching $1.3 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
59 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TPR Tapestry, Inc. | +24 | full | elevated |
AMZN Amazon | +16 | full | moderate |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.4 | expensive | elevated |
HD Home Depot (The) | +14 | full | moderate |
CVNA Carvana | +14 | — | high |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-05-07)-16 pts
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-2.9 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-071d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Tapestry, Inc. (“Tapestry” or the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) in which the Company announced its financial results for its third fiscal quarter ended March 28, 2026. The Company also posted a slide presentation entitled “Investor Presentation” dated May 7, 2026 on the “Presentations & Financial Reports” investor section of its website ( www.tapestry.com ). A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewi…
earnings preannouncement—score 64 - 2026-04-061mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (d) On April 6, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Tapestry, Inc. (“Tapestry” or the “Company”) increased the size of the Board from ten to eleven members and elected Matthew Madrigal as a director of the Company, effective as of April 6, 2026. In connection with Mr. Madrigal’s appointment to the Board and in accordance with the Company’…
executive changeneutralscore 27 - 2026-02-053mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 5, 2026, Tapestry, Inc. (“Tapestry” or the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) in which the Company announced its financial results for its second fiscal quarter ended December 27, 2025. The Company also posted a slide presentation entitled “Investor Presentation” dated February 5, 2026 on the “Presentations & Financial Reports” investor section of its website ( www.tapestry.com ). A copy of the Press Release is fu…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 9 - 2025-09-197mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) John P. (JP) Bilbrey, a member of the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Tapestry, Inc. (the “Company”), advised the Company on September 16, 2025 that he would not stand for re-election to the Board at the Company’s annual meeting of stockholders scheduled to be held on November 13, 2025 (the “Annual Meeting”) . Mr. Bilbrey’s decision not to…
executive changeneutralscore 0 - 2025-08-208mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Principal Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Principal Officers. (e) On August 18, 2025, the Human Resources Committee (the “Committee”) of the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Tapestry, Inc. (the “Company”) approved a special equity grant to Joanne Crevoiserat, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) with a target grant date fair value of $15 million. This one-time special equity grant (the “Special Grant”) was awarded pursuant to the Company’s…
executive changeneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.