TRMB
Trimble Inc.NASDAQInformation TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, TRMB has a favorable signal label with a composite score of 34.8 and a high confidence level of 87.3. The score is influenced by various factors, including macroeconomic conditions and sector trends, with a total risk score of 52.1 categorized as elevated. The valuation score is 71.8, labeled as inexpensive, while the sector score is lower at 21.4.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.07
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.80 → $0.80 (+0.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 26.1% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
6 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Revenue growth guidance for 2026growthbehind12% progress
5/6: “Trimble expects to report revenue between $3,835 million and $3,915 million for 2026.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue for 2026 is guided between $3,835 million and $3,915 million. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $939.9 million, indicating a trajectory towards the lower end of the annual guidance range. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
- 2.EPS guidance for 2026growthbehind12% progress
5/6: “Trimble expects non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.47 to $3.64 for 2026.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS for 2026 is guided between $3.47 and $3.64. The diluted EPS for 2026-Q1 was $0.42, suggesting progress towards the annual target. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
- 3.Quarterly revenue guidance for 2026-Q2growthbehind12% progress
5/6: “Trimble expects to report revenue between $938 million and $963 million for 2026-Q2.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $939.9 million, aligning with the lower end of the 2026-Q2 guidance range. The trajectory suggests potential to meet the quarterly target.
Guidance track record
Last 6 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-31 | $0.83 – $0.91 | $0.89 | inside |
| 2025-03-31 | $0.21 – $0.27 | $0.61 | beat |
| 2025-06-30 | $0.59 – $0.65 | $0.71 | beat |
| 2025-09-30 | $0.34 – $0.43 | $0.81 | beat |
| 2025-12-31 | $0.91 – $0.99 | $1.00 | beat |
| 2026-03-31 | $0.32 – $0.36 | $0.79 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 35%; 252d 28%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −29%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.04 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 53/100, drawdown 43/100, beta 4/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 6 guided quarters · 69.8% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Revenue growth guidance for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-06Trimble expects to achieve revenue between $3,835 million and $3,915 million for the full year 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue for 2026 is guided between $3,835 million and $3,915 million. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $939.9 million, indicating a trajectory towards the lower end of the annual guidance range. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
12%CEO/CFO:“Trimble expects to report revenue between $3,835 million and $3,915 million for 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Trimble expects to report revenue between $3,835 million and $3,915 million.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Trimble expects to report revenue between $3,810 million and $3,910 million.”
- #2
EPS guidance for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-06Trimble expects non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.47 to $3.64 for the full year 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS for 2026 is guided between $3.47 and $3.64. The diluted EPS for 2026-Q1 was $0.42, suggesting progress towards the annual target. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
12%CEO/CFO:“Trimble expects non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.47 to $3.64 for 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.47 to $3.64.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“GAAP earnings per share of $2.04 to $2.23.”
- #3
Quarterly revenue guidance for 2026-Q2
GrowthNew since 2026-05-06Trimble expects to report revenue between $938 million and $963 million for the second quarter of 2026.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $939.9 million, aligning with the lower end of the 2026-Q2 guidance range. The trajectory suggests potential to meet the quarterly target.
12%CEO/CFO:“Trimble expects to report revenue between $938 million and $963 million for 2026-Q2.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Trimble expects to report revenue between $938 million and $963 million.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
62 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TRMB Trimble Inc. | +35 | inexpensive | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-062d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Trimble Inc. (the “ Company ”) issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended April 3, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this report, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “ Exchange Act ”), nor be incorporated by reference in any filing under the Excha…
earnings preannouncement—score 62 - 2026-03-241mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensation Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 24, 2026, Peter Large, Senior Vice President in charge of Strategy, Corporate Development, Corporate Partnerships and Alliances, and Trimble’s Office of Technology Innovation, announced his decision to retire from Trimble Inc. (the “ Company ”), effective late May 2026. Mr. Large’s decision to retire is not the result of any disagreement w…
executive changeneutralscore 20 - 2026-02-102mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 10, 2026, Trimble Inc. (the “ Company ”) issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter and year ended January 2, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this report, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “ Exchange Act ”), nor be incorporated by reference in any filin…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.