TSN
Tyson FoodsNYSEConsumer StaplesFarm ProductsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, TSN has a composite score of 12.6 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 73.1 and reflects various factors, including a macro score of 15.5 and a management score of 40.3. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the information may be subject to change.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.25
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.00 → $1.06 (+5.2% / 30d). 3 raised, 4 cut, 10 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 40% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 16.3% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
Transition story with positive analyst positioning — often a turnaround setup.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
8 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase sales by 2% to 4% in fiscal 2026growthon track97% progress
5/4: “We expect sales to be up 2% to 4% in fiscal 2026 as compared to fiscal 2025.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $13.86B in 2025-Q4 to $14.31B in 2026-Q1, indicating progress towards the 2% to 4% growth target. The trajectory is delivering on the stated priority.
- 2.Manage capital expenditures between $0.7B and $1.0Bcapital allocationmixed35% progress
5/4: “We expect capital expenditures of $0.7 billion to $1.0 billion in fiscal 2026.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Capex guidance remains $0.7B to $1.0B for fiscal 2026. Despite consistent guidance, the financials do not yet show substantive delivery on this priority.
- 3.Achieve free cash flow between $1.1B and $1.7Bcapital allocationmixed35% progress
5/4: “We expect free cash flow to be between $1.1 billion and $1.7 billion for fiscal 2026.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Free cash flow guidance is $1.1B to $1.7B for fiscal 2026. The financials show cash from operations at $942M in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress towards the target.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 28%; 252d 23%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −11%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 0.73 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 62/100, drawdown 77/100, beta 74/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase sales by 2% to 4% in fiscal 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Tyson Foods aims to grow sales by 2% to 4% in fiscal 2026 compared to fiscal 2025.
On trackStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $13.86B in 2025-Q4 to $14.31B in 2026-Q1, indicating progress towards the 2% to 4% growth target. The trajectory is delivering on the stated priority.
97%CEO/CFO:“We expect sales to be up 2% to 4% in fiscal 2026 as compared to fiscal 2025.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-04Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We expect sales to be up 2% to 4% in fiscal 2026 as compared to fiscal 2025.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We expect sales to be up 2% to 4% in fiscal 2026 as compared to fiscal 2025.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We expect sales to be up 2% to 3% in fiscal 2025 as compared to fiscal 2024.”
- #2
Manage capital expenditures between $0.7B and $1.0B
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Tyson Foods plans to manage capital expenditures within the range of $0.7 billion to $1.0 billion for fiscal 2026.
Behind →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Capex guidance remains $0.7B to $1.0B for fiscal 2026. Despite consistent guidance, the financials do not yet show substantive delivery on this priority.
35%CEO/CFO:“We expect capital expenditures of $0.7 billion to $1.0 billion in fiscal 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-04Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We expect capital expenditures of $0.7 billion to $1.0 billion in fiscal 2026.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We expect capital expenditures between $700 million to $1.0 billion for fiscal 2026.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We expect capital expenditures at or below $1.0 billion for fiscal 2025.”
- #3
Achieve free cash flow between $1.1B and $1.7B
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Tyson Foods aims to achieve free cash flow between $1.1 billion and $1.7 billion for fiscal 2026.
Behind →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Free cash flow guidance is $1.1B to $1.7B for fiscal 2026. The financials show cash from operations at $942M in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress towards the target.
35%CEO/CFO:“We expect free cash flow to be between $1.1 billion and $1.7 billion for fiscal 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-04Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We expect free cash flow to be between $1.1 billion and $1.7 billion for fiscal 2026.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We expect free cash flow to be between $0.8 billion and $1.3 billion for fiscal 2026.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We expect free cash flow to be between $1.0 billion and $1.3 billion for fiscal 2025.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
59 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TSN Tyson Foods | +13 | fair | low |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-04)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-04)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-044d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 4, 2026, Tyson Foods, Inc. issued a press release announcing results of operations for its second quarter ended March 28, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in the preceding paragraph, as well as Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Ex…
earnings preannouncement—score 60 - 2026-04-021mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 2, 2026, Tyson Foods, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that Phillip Thomas will be appointed Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer, effective April 6, 2026. In connection with Mr. Thomas’ appointment, Lori Bondar, Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, will step down from her role as Chief Accounting Officer. S…
executive changeneutralscore 25 - 2026-02-202mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 20, 2026, Tyson Foods, Inc. (the “Company”) completed its previously announced public offering and sale of $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 4.950% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “Notes”). The sale of the Notes was made pursuant to the Company’s Registration Statement on Form S-3 (Registration No. 333-272538), including a prospectus supplement dated February 10, 2026 (the “Prospectus Supplement”) to the prospectus contained ther…
capital allocationneutralscore 11 - 2026-02-112mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 10, 2026, Tyson Foods, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) (attached hereto as Exhibit 1.1 and incorporated herein by reference) with BofA Securities, Inc., J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named therein (the “Underwriters”), pursuant to which the Underwriters agreed to purchase from the Company $500,000,000 aggre…
capital allocationneutralscore 9 - 2026-02-202mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The description contained under
capital allocationnegativescore 9
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.