TT
Trane TechnologiesNYSEIndustrialsBuilding Products & EquipmentSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, TT has a composite score of 14.5 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 74.4 and is driven by macro factors such as growth and labor conditions. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the information may change.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.03
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $4.30 → $4.26 (-0.7% / 30d). 1 raised, 12 cut, 22 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
8 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 11.3% above current price.
0 positive, 2 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-04-24TT — credit agreementimpact 0.38
- 2026-04-24TT — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.30
- 2025-05-28TT — General Counsel transitionimpact 0.22
- 2026-04-24TT — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreementimpact 0.20
- 2024-11-21TT — President transitionimpact 0.13
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve 9.5% revenue growth in 2026growthmixed59% progress
4/30: “The Company expects full-year 2026 reported revenue growth of approximately 9.5 percent.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue was $4.13B in 2025-Q4. The company has consistently guided for 9.5% revenue growth in 2026, but financials show limited progress towards this target so far.
- 2.Target EPS of $14.75 to $14.95 for 2026growthbehind0% progress
4/30: “The Company expects GAAP and adjusted continuing EPS for full-year 2026 of approximately $14.75 to $14.95.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS was $3.78 in 2025-Q3. The company has reiterated its EPS target for 2026, but current EPS levels suggest limited progress towards achieving this goal.
- 3.Manage capital allocation effectivelycapital allocationmixed30% progress
4/24: “Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement and creation of a Direct Financial Obligation.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Recent activities include the termination of a credit agreement and creation of a new financial obligation, indicating a shift in capital allocation strategy. However, the impact on financial performance remains to be seen.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 29%; 252d 27%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −20%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 1.13 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 56/100, drawdown 60/100, beta 87/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve 9.5% revenue growth in 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04The company aims for a 9.5% increase in reported revenue for the full year 2026.
Behind →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue was $4.13B in 2025-Q4. The company has consistently guided for 9.5% revenue growth in 2026, but financials show limited progress towards this target so far.
59%CEO/CFO:“The Company expects full-year 2026 reported revenue growth of approximately 9.5 percent.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-30Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“The Company expects full-year 2026 reported revenue growth of approximately 9.5 percent.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“The Company expects full-year 2026 reported revenue growth of approximately 8.5 percent to 9.5 percent.”
- #2
Target EPS of $14.75 to $14.95 for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04The company aims for GAAP and adjusted EPS between $14.75 and $14.95 for 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS was $3.78 in 2025-Q3. The company has reiterated its EPS target for 2026, but current EPS levels suggest limited progress towards achieving this goal.
0%CEO/CFO:“The Company expects GAAP and adjusted continuing EPS for full-year 2026 of approximately $14.75 to $14.95.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-30Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“The Company expects GAAP and adjusted continuing EPS for full-year 2026 of approximately $14.75 to $14.95.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“The Company expects GAAP and adjusted continuing EPS for full-year 2026 of $14.65 to $14.85.”
- #3
Manage capital allocation effectively
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04The company focuses on effective capital allocation to support growth and operational efficiency.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Recent activities include the termination of a credit agreement and creation of a new financial obligation, indicating a shift in capital allocation strategy. However, the impact on financial performance remains to be seen.
30%CEO/CFO:“Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement and creation of a Direct Financial Obligation.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-24Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement and creation of a Direct Financial Obligation.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TT Trane Technologies | +15 | full | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-04-30)-16 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-3.7 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-308d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 30, 2026 , Trane Technologies plc issued a press release announcing its first quarter 2026 results. The information in this Form 8-K and the exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, e…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54 - 2026-04-2414d agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 23, 2026, Trane Technologies Holdco Inc. (“TTH”) and Trane Technologies Financing Limited (“TTFL” and, together with TTH, the “Borrowers”), Trane Technologies plc (“TT Parent”), Trane Technologies Lux International Holding Company S.à r.l. (“TT Lux Holding Company”), Trane Technologies Irish Holdings Unlimited Company (“Irish Holdings”), Trane Technologies Americas Holding Corporation (“TTAHC”), Trane Technologies Global Holding II Company…
capital allocationneutralscore 47 - 2026-04-2414d agoItem 1.02
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. Effective April 23, 2026, the Borrowers and the Guarantors terminated the 2022 Revolving Credit Agreement.
mna activitynegativescore 37 - 2026-04-2414d agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information in
capital allocationnegativescore 37 - 2026-01-293mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On January 29, 2026 , Trane Technologies plc issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. The information in this Form 8-K and the exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 19…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 7
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.