TXT
TextronNYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, TXT has a composite score of 21.7, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.1 and a low risk label, with strengths in valuation (85.7) and macro factors (30.0). The analysis is provisional, reflecting potential changes based on various scenarios, including guidance adjustments and sector trends.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.19
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2022-Q2, 2023-Q1, 2024-Q1, 2025-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.61 → $1.56 (-3.2% / 30d). 1 raised, 8 cut, 15 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 33% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 11.8% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Separate Industrial segmentcapital allocationmixed30% progress
4/30: “Textron announced its intent to separate its Industrial segment to enhance strategic focus.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Textron announced its intent to separate its Industrial segment, composed of Kautex and Textron Specialized Vehicles, from its core aerospace and defense businesses. This strategic move aims to enhance operational focus and drive long-term value. However, no specific financial milestones or timelines have been provided, indicating limited progress in execution so far.
- 2.Increase 2026 revenuegrowthmixed59% progressprovisional
1/28: “Textron is forecasting 2026 revenues of approximately $15.5 billion, up from $14.8 billion in 2025.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Textron aims to increase its 2026 revenue to approximately $15.5 billion, up from $14.8 billion in 2025. This represents a targeted growth of $0.7 billion. However, the financials for 2025-Q4 show a revenue of $3.078 billion, indicating a need for significant acceleration to meet the annual target. The trajectory shows ambition but requires substantial progress.
- 3.Improve manufacturing cash flowcapital allocationmixed30% progressprovisional
1/28: “Manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions will be between $700 million and $800 million.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Textron aims to improve manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions to between $700 million and $800 million in 2026. The financials for 2025-Q4 show cash from operating activities at $263 million, indicating a need for significant improvement to reach the target. The trajectory requires substantial enhancement to meet the guidance.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 33%; 252d 26%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −15%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 1.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 57/100, drawdown 71/100, beta 95/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Separate Industrial segment
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Textron plans to separate its Industrial segment to enhance strategic focus.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q2. Textron announced its intent to separate its Industrial segment, composed of Kautex and Textron Specialized Vehicles, from its core aerospace and defense businesses. This strategic move aims to enhance operational focus and drive long-term value. However, no specific financial milestones or timelines have been provided, indicating limited progress in execution so far.
30%CEO/CFO:“Textron announced its intent to separate its Industrial segment to enhance strategic focus.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-30Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Textron announced its intent to separate its Industrial segment to enhance strategic focus.”
- #2
Increase 2026 revenue
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Textron aims to increase its 2026 revenue to approximately $15.5 billion.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Textron aims to increase its 2026 revenue to approximately $15.5 billion, up from $14.8 billion in 2025. This represents a targeted growth of $0.7 billion. However, the financials for 2025-Q4 show a revenue of $3.078 billion, indicating a need for significant acceleration to meet the annual target. The trajectory shows ambition but requires substantial progress.
59%CEO/CFO:“Textron is forecasting 2026 revenues of approximately $15.5 billion, up from $14.8 billion in 2025.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-28Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Textron is forecasting 2026 revenues of approximately $15.5 billion, up from $14.8 billion in 2025.”
- #3
Improve manufacturing cash flow
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Textron aims to improve manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions to $700-$800 million in 2026.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Textron aims to improve manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions to between $700 million and $800 million in 2026. The financials for 2025-Q4 show cash from operating activities at $263 million, indicating a need for significant improvement to reach the target. The trajectory requires substantial enhancement to meet the guidance.
30%CEO/CFO:“Manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions will be between $700 million and $800 million.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-28Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions will be between $700 million and $800 million.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TXT Textron | +22 | inexpensive | low |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-308d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 30, 2026, Textron Inc. (“Textron” or the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended April 4, 2026. This press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. A discussion of the reasons why management believes that the presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides useful information to investors regarding Textron’s financial condition and resul…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54 - 2026-04-308d agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On April 30, 2026, Textron announced its intent to separate its Industrial segment, composed of Kautex and Textron Specialized Vehicles, from the Company’s core aerospace and defense businesses to enhance its strategic and operational focus and drive long-term value for stakeholders. Textron intends to explore multiple paths to effect the planned separation of its Industrial segment, including but not limited to a sale of the Industrial businesses or a tax-free separation into a…
legal regulatorynegativescore 43 - 2026-02-023mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 30, 2026, the Board of Directors of Textron Inc. (“Textron”) elected Cristina Méndez as a member of the Board effective February 15, 2026. Ms. Méndez is Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Otis Worldwide Corporation where she oversees a wide range of functions, including Investor Relations, Financial Planning and Anal…
executive changeneutralscore 9 - 2026-01-283mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On January 28, 2026, Textron Inc. (“Textron”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter and year ended January 3, 2026. This press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. A discussion of the reasons why management believes that the presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides useful information to investors regarding Textron’s financial condition and results o…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 6
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.