TYL
Tyler TechnologiesNYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, TYL has a composite score of 25.5, categorized as "mild favorable" with a high confidence level of 80.1. The score is influenced by several factors, including an unfavorable scenario of a potential guidance cut and a favorable scenario if next-quarter guidance is raised. The macro score is 32.3, while the sector score is 21.4, indicating varying strengths in different areas. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.01
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Buyback / dividend activity on weakening fundamentals — historically a value-trap pattern (48% T+1y positive return vs 69% baseline in IT 2024-26).
Why this setup
EPS estimate $3.19 → $3.19 (-0.3% / 30d). 8 raised, 13 cut, 22 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 7 maintained. 82% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 25.2% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.SaaS Revenue Growthgrowthon track100% progress
4/29: “CEO: 'We achieved double-digit recurring revenue growth, led by exceptional SaaS growth, extending our impressive track record with 21 consecutive quarters of 20% or greater SaaS growth.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. SaaS revenues grew 23.5% to $222.4 million in 2026-Q1, continuing the trend of 20% or greater growth. This consistent growth trajectory aligns with management's stated priority of maintaining strong SaaS revenue expansion.
- 2.Share Repurchase Programcapital allocationon track77% progress
4/29: “CFO: 'We executed $250 million in share repurchases under our expanded $1 billion authorization.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. $250 million in share repurchases executed in 2026-Q1, with approximately $653 million remaining under the $1 billion authorization. This demonstrates active capital allocation towards share repurchases, aligning with management's stated priority.
- 3.Recurring Revenue Growthgrowthon track100% progress
4/29: “CEO: 'Our first quarter results exceeded expectations for our key performance measures, with recurring and total revenues setting new quarterly records.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Recurring revenues were $538.6 million, up 10.4% in 2026-Q1, continuing the upward trend from $514.4 million in 2025-Q4. This aligns with management's focus on driving growth through recurring revenue streams.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 35%; 252d 35%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −53%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.01 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 41/100, drawdown 0/100, beta 1/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
SaaS Revenue Growth
GrowthAchieve consistent SaaS revenue growth of 20% or greater.
On trackStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. SaaS revenues grew 23.5% to $222.4 million in 2026-Q1, continuing the trend of 20% or greater growth. This consistent growth trajectory aligns with management's stated priority of maintaining strong SaaS revenue expansion.
SaaS revenues grew 23.5% to $222.4 million in 2026-Q1100%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We achieved double-digit recurring revenue growth, led by exceptional SaaS growth, extending our impressive track record with 21 consecutive quarters of 20% or greater SaaS growth.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-29Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'SaaS revenues grew 23.5% to $222.4 million.'”
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'SaaS revenues grew 20.2% to $208.3 million.'”
- #2
Share Repurchase Program
Capital allocationExecute share repurchases under the $1 billion authorization.
On trackStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. $250 million in share repurchases executed in 2026-Q1, with approximately $653 million remaining under the $1 billion authorization. This demonstrates active capital allocation towards share repurchases, aligning with management's stated priority.
$250 million in share repurchases executed in 2026-Q177%CEO/CFO:“CFO: 'We executed $250 million in share repurchases under our expanded $1 billion authorization.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-29Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Earnings call
“CFO: 'We repurchased approximately 2.5% of our outstanding shares this year.'”
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'We repurchased $175 million of our stock.'”
- #3
Recurring Revenue Growth
GrowthFocus on increasing recurring revenues to drive overall revenue growth.
On trackStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Recurring revenues were $538.6 million, up 10.4% in 2026-Q1, continuing the upward trend from $514.4 million in 2025-Q4. This aligns with management's focus on driving growth through recurring revenue streams.
Recurring revenues were $538.6 million, up 10.4% in 2026-Q1100%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'Our first quarter results exceeded expectations for our key performance measures, with recurring and total revenues setting new quarterly records.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-29Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'Recurring revenues were $538.6 million, up 10.4%.'”
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'Recurring revenues were $514.4 million, up 10.9%.'”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TYL Tyler Technologies | +26 | inexpensive | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-299d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 29, 2026, Tyler Technologies, Inc. issued the earnings news release announcing results from operations and financial condition as of March 31, 2026, attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, which news release is incorporated by reference herein. Exhibit number Exhibit description 99.1 News Release issued by Tyler Technologies, Inc. dated April 29, 2026 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded in the Inline XBRL document) SIGNATURES Pursuant…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 53 - 2026-03-131mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On March 13, 2026, Tyler Technologies, Inc. (“Tyler”) entered into a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (the “Plan”) with a brokerage firm to repurchase up to $200.0 million of shares of our common stock. Share repurchases under the Plan may commence March 16, 2026, and will end April 30, 2026. Tyler’s share repurchase program was originally announced in October 2002 and was amended at various times from 2003 through 2026. On February 3, 2026, our Board of Directors authorized the repurch…
capital allocationpositivescore 14 - 2026-02-112mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 11, 2026, Tyler Technologies, Inc. issued the earnings news release announcing results from operations and financial condition as of December 31, 2025, attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, which news release is incorporated by reference herein. Exhibit number Exhibit description 99.1 News Release issued by Tyler Technologies, Inc. dated February 11, 2026 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded in the Inline XBRL document) SIGNATURES…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9 - 2026-02-043mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On February 4, 2026, Tyler Technologies, Inc. (“Tyler” or “the Company”) announced that its board of directors approved a share repurchase plan with authorization to purchase up to $1 billion of its Class A Common Stock, effective immediately (the “Repurchase Plan”). The Repurchase Plan replaces and supersedes any previous authorizations. Repurchases under the Repurchase Plan may be made in the open market or otherwise in such quantities, at such prices, in such manner and on su…
capital allocationpositivescore 6
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.