United Airlines Holdings (UAL)
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$115.76+7.98%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put UAL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS near $1.25 next quarter: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 12% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 30% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskUAL's revenue growth must sustain its 17.4% pace to justify the current valuation. The company reported record revenue of $17.88 billion in the third quarter. However, the latest earnings report came in slightly below consensus estimates. The stock trades at 12 times earnings versus a 22 times peer median. This discount suggests the market expects less growth than our model forecasts. The primary risk is that revenue growth fails to maintain its 10% target. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 28%. Peer multiples imply a price about 39% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. UAL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering UAL (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for UAL in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare UAL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Passenger Airlines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put UAL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Invest in customer experience to build brand-loyal customers
Enhances customer experience via popular music integration.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $115.76
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $115.76.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Invest in customer experience to build brand-loyal customers
Enhances in-flight entertainment, directly supporting customer experience goals.
Threatens: Expand the network and grow customer-focused capacity
Exiting Mexico removes network capacity and customer options, though the strategic and financial scale is unclear.
Watchdog warns proposed route deal could intensify competition, creating a potential headwind to United's network growth.
Advances: Invest in customer experience to build brand-loyal customers
Opening its largest U.S. lounge is a tangible customer-experience investment that may strengthen loyalty.
Advances: Invest in customer experience to build brand-loyal customers
CEO says Starlink partnership is attracting customers, supporting customer experience and loyalty.
Record revenue forecast is a meaningful growth signal, though fuel costs temper the upside.
Advances: Build the greatest airline in history with customer-focused growth
Double-digit margin targets and premium growth support customer-focused expansion, though the headline alone does not confirm delivery.
