Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. (UCTT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$44.04-8.29%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UCTT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -53.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 49.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 103.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
UCTT — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-06
Chief Financial Officer — Sheri Savage: Ms. Savage retired and was succeeded by Michael Keogh as Chief Financial Officer.
Why it matters: Operating cash flow was negative $116.7 million in the first nine months, while inventory grew to $723.3 million. Positive cash flow would show the business is turning growth into cash.
Supportive ifThe Q4 cash flow report shows positive operating cash flow for the quarter.
Worry ifThe Q4 cash flow report shows cash flowing out of operations. Inventory is still rising.
Why it matters: Gross margin rose from 16.1% in Q2 to 16.9% in Q3. Another gain would show that growth is coming with better margins.
Supportive ifQ4 non-GAAP gross margin is above the Q3 level of 17.3%.
Worry ifQ4 non-GAAP gross margin is below 17.3%.
Why it matters: UCT guided to $800 million to $860 million for Q4. Revenue above the low end would extend its recent growth run.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 revenue is at least $800 million, within or above the guided range.
Worry ifQ4 revenue is below $800 million, missing the low end of guidance.
Why it matters: Michael Keogh took over as CFO after Sheri Savage retired. A new change could affect how investors track the company’s results and plans.
Worry ifA company filing or release names a new CFO or says Michael Keogh is leaving the role.
Less concerning ifThe company keeps Michael Keogh as CFO through its next earnings report, with no new CFO change announced.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$409 on $10,000 · ±4.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $956 loss on $10,000 · 9.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,911 loss on $10,000 · 69.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.