Ultralife Corp (ULBI)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$15.63+0.06%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ULBI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 214.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 205.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 17 industry peers
ULBI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 7, 2026, Ultralife Corporation issued a press release regarding the financial results for its second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of this press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by this reference.
Why it matters: The $16 cash offer needs tenders from at least a majority of ULBI shares. That is a key step toward the planned deal close.
Supportive ifEnerSys starts the tender offer. Its filings show that holders tendered at least a majority of ULBI shares.
Worry ifThe offer ends without tenders for most ULBI shares, or EnerSys withdraws it.
Why it matters: Q2 margin was 28.9%, or 26.6% without a tariff refund. A strong next result would show that gains go beyond that refund.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin is above 26.6%. The result excludes any one-time tariff refund.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is below 26.6%, or falls sharply as manufacturing gains fade.
Why it matters: Ultralife said the deal is expected to close in Q1 2027. A timely close would complete the cash offer and end ULBI's public listing.
Supportive ifUltralife or EnerSys reports that the merger closed by March 31, 2027.
Worry ifThe deal is still open after March 31, 2027, or either company says the merger agreement has ended.
Why it matters: The deal also needs regulatory approval. A delay or failed approval could block the $16 cash offer.
Worry ifAll required regulators approve the deal. No disclosed limits or conditions would block it.
Less concerning ifA regulator blocks the deal, or approval comes with limits that stop the merger from closing.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$150 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $341 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,756 loss on $10,000 · 27.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.