United Parcel Service (UPS)
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$102.29-1.17%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put UPS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Achieve operating margin of at least 9.6%: TTM operating margin 7.3% vs 9.6% target.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 0% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskUPS's growth trajectory relies on its ability to achieve a 9.6% operating margin. Recent performance has weakened, with the operating margin currently at 7.3%. Revenue grew 6% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. UPS trades at 15× P/E versus a peer median of 24×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than anticipated. The primary risk is the broken pillar of achieving the operating margin target. Peer multiples imply a price about 11% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. UPS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering UPS (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for UPS in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare UPS with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Air Freight & Logistics — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put UPS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Increased prices from rivals may pressure UPS's pricing strategy.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $102.29
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $102.29.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Execute Network Reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives
New model supports efficiency initiatives and cost management.
Advances: Raise full-year 2026 consolidated revenue to $91.2 billion
Expansion plans support revenue growth objective.
Legal issues could impact revenue and operational efficiency.
Advances: Raise full-year 2026 consolidated revenue to $91.2 billion
Investment supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Execute Network Reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives
Strategic investments enhance network efficiency.
Advances: Raise full-year 2026 consolidated revenue to $91.2 billion
Investment supports revenue growth objective for 2026.
Advances: Raise full-year 2026 consolidated revenue to $91.2 billion
Targeted investment boosts revenue potential.
