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V

Visa Inc.

NYSEFinancialsCredit ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08

$318.79-0.78%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, V has a composite score of 20.2, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 71.4 and is driven by factors such as macroeconomic conditions and sector trends. The macro score is -7.7, while management quality is rated at 78.2, indicating strengths in management but weaknesses in macro factors. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +20as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 20% of financials cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.06
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
5354617758306737
F2 · Value
Insufficient data
No score yet
F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
20,477
TTM CFO ($M)
21,334
CFO/NI
1.04
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
stable
Top 30% activity in financials cohort· see deep-dive ↓
capital friendlyTop 30% capital-friendly in financials cohort
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish strong6 PT revisions / 30d, avg 16.6% above currentfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $3.17 → $3.22 (+1.5% / 30d). 18 raised, 3 cut, 28 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 8 maintained. 92% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 16.6% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

Market and fundamentals agree — analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Enhance Visa as a Service stackproductwatchprovisional
    4/28: CEO: 'We continued to enhance our Visa as a Service stack, including with agentic and stablecoin capabilities.'
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Visa's net revenue increased from $10.9B in 2026-Q1 to $11.2B in 2026-Q2, driven by growth in payments volume and processed transactions. The trajectory shows recurring focus with substantive delivery in revenue growth.

  2. 2.Share repurchase programcapital allocationmixed65% progress
    4/28: Visa announced a new $20.0B multi-year share repurchase program.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Visa repurchased approximately 25 million shares for $7.9 billion in 2026-Q2. The new $20.0B program indicates a strong commitment to capital return, with significant repurchases already executed.

  3. 3.Strengthen position in Argentinagrowthmixed65% progress
    4/28: Visa announced and completed its acquisition of Prisma and Newpay in Argentina.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Visa completed acquisitions in Argentina, aiming to strengthen its market position. While the acquisitions are strategic, the financial impact on revenue or income is not yet detailed, indicating early stages of integration.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
lowworst 12m loss −20%, typical day ±0.8%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 28%; 252d 22%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −20%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLF) 0.95 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 63/100, drawdown 59/100, beta 95/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-9.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLF

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite78.2 / 100
Capital allocation96
Earnings discipline97
Margin discipline71
Balance sheet22
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction58
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Enhance Visa as a Service stack

    Product

    Continue to enhance Visa as a Service stack with agentic and stablecoin capabilities to strengthen position as a leading payments hyperscaler.

    Watch

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Visa's net revenue increased from $10.9B in 2026-Q1 to $11.2B in 2026-Q2, driven by growth in payments volume and processed transactions. The trajectory shows recurring focus with substantive delivery in revenue growth.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'We continued to enhance our Visa as a Service stack, including with agentic and stablecoin capabilities.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28provisional
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q2Press release

      CEO: 'We continued to enhance our Visa as a Service stack, including with agentic and stablecoin capabilities.'

    • 2026-Q1Press release

      CEO: 'Our purposeful investments in our Visa as a Service stack continue to position us as a payments hyperscaler.'

  • #2

    Share repurchase program

    Capital allocation

    Visa's board authorized a new $20.0B multi-year share repurchase program to return capital to shareholders.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Visa repurchased approximately 25 million shares for $7.9 billion in 2026-Q2. The new $20.0B program indicates a strong commitment to capital return, with significant repurchases already executed.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:Visa announced a new $20.0B multi-year share repurchase program.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q2Press release

      Visa announced a new $20.0B multi-year share repurchase program.

  • #3

    Strengthen position in Argentina

    Growth

    Visa completed acquisitions of Prisma and Newpay in Argentina to advance payment innovation and modernize financial infrastructure.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Visa completed acquisitions in Argentina, aiming to strengthen its market position. While the acquisitions are strategic, the financial impact on revenue or income is not yet detailed, indicating early stages of integration.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:Visa announced and completed its acquisition of Prisma and Newpay in Argentina.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q2Press release

      Visa announced and completed its acquisition of Prisma and Newpay in Argentina.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
higher = cheaper

Not enough peers to compare yet.

Compared to its own history
higher = cheaper

Self-history needs ~20 months of data.

P/E
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield

P/E over the last 5 years

0 monthly points
Self-history needs ~20 months of TTM data; this ticker isn’t there yet.
no labelas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
V
Visa Inc.
+20low
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
+6.0moderate
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
-0.9fulllow
MA
Mastercard
+15fulllow
BAC
Bank of America
+18inexpensivemoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.8%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.2%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-20.4%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
lowas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
  • If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
  • If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2811d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, Visa Inc. (the "Company") issued an earnings release announcing financial results for the Company's fiscal second quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the earnings release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. All information in the earnings release is furnished but not filed. On April 28, 2026, the Company will host a conference call to discuss its fiscal second quarter ended March 31, 2026 financial results.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 51
  2. 2026-04-2811d agoItem 8.01

    Other Events. On April 28, 2026, the Company’s board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend in the amount of $0.670 per share of class A common stock (determined in the case of all other outstanding common and preferred stock on an as-converted basis), payable on June 1, 2026, to all holders of record as of May 12, 2026.

    capital allocationneutralscore 40
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-01-30 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.