VLTO
VeraltoNYSEIndustrialsPollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, VLTO has a composite score of 36.8 and a signal label of "favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 74.8 and strong management credibility at 86.3. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, labor, rates, and inflation, while the sector score is relatively low at 16.7. The assessment is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.01
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.02 → $1.00 (-2.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 11 cut, 13 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 60% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 20.8% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase EPS guidancegrowthbehind0% progress
4/28: “We raised our full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance to a range of $4.20 to $4.28 per share.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance was raised to $4.20 to $4.28 per share for 2026. Despite the increase, financials show a decline in revenue from $1,404M in 2025-Q3 to $1,172M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress in achieving the EPS growth target.
- 2.Achieve core sales growthgrowthbehind0% progress
4/28: “Veralto anticipates non-GAAP core sales growth in the range of 3.0% to 4.5% year-over-year.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite guidance for 3.0% to 4.5% core sales growth, revenue declined from $1,404M in 2025-Q3 to $1,172M in 2025-Q4, showing limited progress in achieving sales growth.
- 3.Maintain free cash flow conversioncapital allocationmixed35% progressprovisional
2/3: “Free cash flow conversion of approximately ~100% of GAAP net earnings.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite the aim for ~100% free cash flow conversion, cash from operations was -$196M in 2025-Q4, indicating a challenge in maintaining the conversion target.
Guidance track record
Last 4 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-31 | $0.79 – $0.84 | $0.87 | beat |
| 2024-06-30 | $0.75 – $0.80 | $0.85 | beat |
| 2024-09-30 | $0.82 – $0.86 | $0.88 | beat |
| 2025-12-31 | $0.95 – $0.98 | $1.04 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 24%; 252d 20%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −22%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.42 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 66/100, drawdown 55/100, beta 43/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 4 guided quarters · 7.2% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase EPS guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Management aims to increase the EPS guidance for the fiscal year.
BehindStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance was raised to $4.20 to $4.28 per share for 2026. Despite the increase, financials show a decline in revenue from $1,404M in 2025-Q3 to $1,172M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress in achieving the EPS growth target.
0%CEO/CFO:“We raised our full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance to a range of $4.20 to $4.28 per share.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We raised our full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance to a range of $4.20 to $4.28 per share.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We raised our full year core sales growth and adjusted earnings per share guidance.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“We are reaffirming our full year 2025 adjusted earnings per share guidance in the range of $3.60 to $3.70.”
- #2
Achieve core sales growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on achieving non-GAAP core sales growth year-over-year.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite guidance for 3.0% to 4.5% core sales growth, revenue declined from $1,404M in 2025-Q3 to $1,172M in 2025-Q4, showing limited progress in achieving sales growth.
0%CEO/CFO:“Veralto anticipates non-GAAP core sales growth in the range of 3.0% to 4.5% year-over-year.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Veralto anticipates non-GAAP core sales growth in the range of 3.0% to 4.5% year-over-year.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We raised our full year core sales growth and adjusted earnings per share guidance.”
- #3
Maintain free cash flow conversion
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Aim to maintain free cash flow conversion at approximately 100% of GAAP net earnings.
Behind →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite the aim for ~100% free cash flow conversion, cash from operations was -$196M in 2025-Q4, indicating a challenge in maintaining the conversion target.
35%CEO/CFO:“Free cash flow conversion of approximately ~100% of GAAP net earnings.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-03Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Free cash flow conversion of approximately ~100% of GAAP net earnings.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“The Company also raised its full-year free cash flow conversion guidance to approximately 100%.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
30 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VLTO Veralto | +37 | inexpensive | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2810d agoItem 2.02
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On April 28, 2026, Veralto Corporation (“Veralto”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended April 3, 2026. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. This Current Report on Form 8-K and the press release attached hereto are being furnished by Veralto pursuant to
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 52 - 2026-02-033mo agoItem 2.02
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On February 3, 2026, Veralto Corporation (“Veralto”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. This Current Report on Form 8-K and the press release attached hereto are being furnished by Veralto pursuant to
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8 - 2025-11-255mo agoItem 8.01
OTHER EVENTS On November 25, 2025, Veralto Corporation (the “Company”) announced that its Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the repurchase of up to $750 million of the Company’s common stock from time to time on the open market (including through the use of trading plans intended to qualify under Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), in privately negotiated transactions or by other methods, at the Company’s discretion. The program…
capital allocationpositivescore 1
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.