VRSK
Verisk AnalyticsNASDAQIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, VRSK has a composite score of 25.1 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 74.1 and elevated risk, with strengths in management (83.9) and valuation (67.9), while facing challenges in momentum (-2.6) and sector performance (16.7). The analysis is provisional and reflects various macroeconomic factors, including growth, labor, rates, and inflation.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.06
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.96 → $1.93 (-1.2% / 30d). 4 raised, 6 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 53% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 27.2% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Reaffirm financial guidance for 2026growthbehind0% progress
4/29: “CFO: 'We are reaffirming our financial guidance for 2026.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue guidance for 2026 is $3,190M to $3,240M. Despite reaffirming guidance, revenue for 2025-Q4 was $636.8M, and for 2026-Q1 was $783M, showing limited progress towards the annual target. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
- 2.Maintain capital expenditures guidancecapital allocationmixed35% progress
4/29: “CFO: 'We are reaffirming our financial guidance for 2026.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Capex guidance for 2026 is $260M to $280M. Actual capex for 2025-Q4 was $67.2M and for 2026-Q1 was $64M, indicating adherence to guidance. The trajectory is consistent with stated guidance.
- 3.Focus on earnings growthgrowthbehind0% progress
2/18: “CEO: 'We continue to have confidence in our ability to deliver results in line with our long-term growth targets for 2026 and beyond.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net income for 2026-Q1 was $234M, up 0.8% from $232M in 2025-Q1. Despite the focus on earnings growth, the increase is modest, indicating limited progress towards substantial growth targets.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 39%; 252d 31%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −48%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — -0.17 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 49/100, drawdown 3/100, beta 0/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Reaffirm financial guidance for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Verisk continues to reaffirm its financial guidance for the year 2026, maintaining confidence in its growth targets.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue guidance for 2026 is $3,190M to $3,240M. Despite reaffirming guidance, revenue for 2025-Q4 was $636.8M, and for 2026-Q1 was $783M, showing limited progress towards the annual target. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
0%CEO/CFO:“CFO: 'We are reaffirming our financial guidance for 2026.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“CFO: 'We are reaffirming our financial guidance for 2026.'”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“CFO: 'Full Year 2026 Guidance ($ in millions, except per share amounts) Low High Total revenue $ 3,190 $ 3,240'”
- #2
Maintain capital expenditures guidance
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Verisk is maintaining its capital expenditures guidance for 2026, reflecting its commitment to disciplined capital allocation.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Capex guidance for 2026 is $260M to $280M. Actual capex for 2025-Q4 was $67.2M and for 2026-Q1 was $64M, indicating adherence to guidance. The trajectory is consistent with stated guidance.
35%CEO/CFO:“CFO: 'We are reaffirming our financial guidance for 2026.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“CFO: 'We are reaffirming our financial guidance for 2026.'”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“CFO: 'Full Year 2026 Guidance ($ in millions, except per share amounts) Low High Capital expenditures $ 260 $ 280'”
- #3
Focus on earnings growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Verisk is focusing on earnings growth, aiming to align with its long-term financial targets.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net income for 2026-Q1 was $234M, up 0.8% from $232M in 2025-Q1. Despite the focus on earnings growth, the increase is modest, indicating limited progress towards substantial growth targets.
0%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We continue to have confidence in our ability to deliver results in line with our long-term growth targets for 2026 and beyond.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-18Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“CEO: 'We have confidence that our operating momentum will build throughout the year.'”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“CEO: 'We continue to have confidence in our ability to deliver results in line with our long-term growth targets for 2026 and beyond.'”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VRSK Verisk Analytics | +25 | fair | elevated |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-29)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-29)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-299d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 29, 2026, Verisk Analytics, Inc. (the “Registrant”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is annexed as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. All information in the press release is furnished but not filed.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 53 - 2026-02-232mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Term Credit Agreement On February 18, 2026, Verisk Analytics, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a Term Credit Agreement (the “Term Credit Agreement”) among the Company, the lenders party thereto, and Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent. The Term Credit Agreement provides for a 364-day senior unsecured delayed draw term loan facility in an aggregate principal amount of $500,000,000 (the “Term Facility”). The availability o…
capital allocationpositivescore 12 - 2026-02-182mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 18, 2026, Verisk Analytics, Inc. (the “Registrant”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is annexed as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. All information in the press release is furnished but not filed.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 12 - 2026-02-262mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On February 23, 2026, the Company entered into an Underwriting Agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) by and among the Company and BofA Securities, Inc. and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC as representatives of the underwriters named therein (the “Underwriters”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to sell to the Underwriters $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 4.450% Senior Notes due 2031 (the “2031 Notes”) and $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 5.125% Sen…
capital allocationpositivescore 10 - 2026-02-232mo agoItem 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure. On February 23, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing entering into the ASR Agreements, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. All information in the press release is furnished but not filed. Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements . This Current Report on 8-K contains forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events or to future financial performance and involve known and unknown…
capital allocationpositivescore 9
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.