Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-07-09
$496.50-0.39%
Close 2026-07-09 · 1-day change
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Biotechnology is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 14%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 28% growth a year, above the roughly 11% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskVertex Pharmaceuticals must continue to expand its gene therapy portfolio to justify its price. The recent FDA approvals for gene therapies significantly enhance its product offerings. It trades at 27.7 times earnings, above the peer median of 21.7 times. The market appears to expect more growth than is likely. If Vertex cuts guidance on its next call, it could face a significant drop. Peer multiples imply a price about 35% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-09. VRTX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 33 analysts currently covering VRTX (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for VRTX in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $496.50. As of 2026-07-09. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Biotechnology — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Integration risk may hinder growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-09. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $496.50
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $496.50.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Acquisition expands product portfolio into new therapeutic area.
Integration risk may hinder growth objectives.
Takeover focus indicates strong market interest in Vertex.
Rating cut suggests concerns over acquisition impact.
Valuation suggests strong growth potential post-acquisition.
Acquisition aligns with growth strategy and expands product portfolio.
Acquisition expands Vertex's rare-disease portfolio significantly.