Ventas (VTR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
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Put VTR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Real Estate is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — SHOP Same-Store Cash NOI growth > 15% YoY: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 22% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 34%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 67% growth a year, above the roughly 12% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskVentas relies on senior housing growth to justify its high price. Revenue grew 21% in the second quarter of 2026. The company trades at 24 times funds from operations. Peers trade at a 12 times multiple. The market is pricing in more growth than we forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 27%. The primary pillar is under pressure. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 68% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. VTR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 23 analysts currently covering VTR (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for VTR in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Health Care REITs — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put VTR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase full-year earnings guidance
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $89.20
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $89.20.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Official 2026 FFO guidance and investment volume confirm growth targets.

Advances: Deliver SHOP Same-Store Cash NOI growth
Q3 earnings call is a material source for SHOP same-store NOI and guidance progress, though details are unspecified.

Threatens: Deliver SHOP Same-Store Cash NOI growth
Q3 EPS miss and stock drop signal near-term execution headwinds.

Advances: Increase 2026 senior housing investment volume
Raises 2026 investment volume to $4.5B and FFO guidance.

Advances: Increase full year 2026 earnings guidance
Earnings call supports guidance increase for 2026.

Advances: Deliver SHOP Same-Store Cash NOI growth
SHOP drives 16% NOI growth, confirming core operational objective.

Surpassing estimates indicates strong operational performance.