WAB
WabtecNYSEIndustrialsRailroadsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, WAB has a composite score of 24.6, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a high confidence level of 80.4 and reflects strengths in valuation (62.7) and quality (60.1), while facing challenges from macroeconomic factors such as growth and labor trends. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the information may change.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.03
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.62 → $2.60 (-0.9% / 30d). 3 raised, 6 cut, 10 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 82% of analysts rate Buy.
4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 15.0% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
2 material events in the last 24 months — top 2 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Focus on future sales and earnings growthgrowthmixed65% progress
4/22: “CEO: 'We remain well positioned to deliver profitable growth and continue compounding long-term value for our shareholders.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $2.61B in 2025-Q1 to $2.95B in 2026-Q1, indicating a positive trajectory in sales growth. The CEO has emphasized the company's strong positioning for profitable growth, aligning with the financial results.
- 2.Improve cash conversioncostwatchprovisional
10/22: “Wabtec expects operating cash flow conversion of greater than 90 percent.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Cash from operations was $199M in 2026-Q1, reflecting ongoing efforts to improve cash conversion. The guidance of greater than 90% cash flow conversion indicates a focus on enhancing operational efficiency, though specific progress is not detailed.
- 3.Maintain operating margincostmixed65% progress
4/22: “Adjusted operating margin up 0.2 pts to 21.9%.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Adjusted operating margin was 21.9% in 2026-Q1, up 0.2 points from the previous year, indicating a slight improvement. The focus on maintaining operating margin is evident, though the increase is modest.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 35%; 252d 23%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −13%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 1.17 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 61/100, drawdown 73/100, beta 83/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Focus on future sales and earnings growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Wabtec aims to drive significant value through sales and earnings growth.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $2.61B in 2025-Q1 to $2.95B in 2026-Q1, indicating a positive trajectory in sales growth. The CEO has emphasized the company's strong positioning for profitable growth, aligning with the financial results.
65%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We remain well positioned to deliver profitable growth and continue compounding long-term value for our shareholders.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“CEO: 'We remain well positioned to deliver profitable growth...'”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“CEO: 'Our record $27 billion multi-year backlog provides strong visibility and positions Wabtec for sustained growth.'”
- #2
Improve cash conversion
CostNew since 2026-05-04Wabtec is focused on enhancing its cash conversion efficiency.
On track →WatchNewly stated in 2025-Q4. Cash from operations was $199M in 2026-Q1, reflecting ongoing efforts to improve cash conversion. The guidance of greater than 90% cash flow conversion indicates a focus on enhancing operational efficiency, though specific progress is not detailed.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“Wabtec expects operating cash flow conversion of greater than 90 percent.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-10-22Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Wabtec expects operating cash flow conversion of greater than 90 percent.”
- #3
Maintain operating margin
CostNew since 2026-05-04Wabtec is committed to maintaining its operating margin through strategic initiatives.
On track →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Adjusted operating margin was 21.9% in 2026-Q1, up 0.2 points from the previous year, indicating a slight improvement. The focus on maintaining operating margin is evident, though the increase is modest.
65%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted operating margin up 0.2 pts to 21.9%.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Adjusted operating margin up 0.2 pts to 21.9%.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
WAB Wabtec | +25 | fair | low |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-04-22)-16 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-3.7 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2216d agoItem 2.02
in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, nor shall it be deemed i ncorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 45 - 2026-02-112mo agoItem 2.02
in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, nor shall it be deemed i ncorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.