Webtoon Entertainment, Inc. (WBTN)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.97-0.20%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WBTN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -59.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 9.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 68.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WBTN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-10
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.2 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect plans and actions. This is key for future steps.
Watch forNew leaders or roles are announced.
Also watch forNo new leaders are announced.
Why it matters: If Webtoon shows positive revenue growth, it may turn around in a tough market.
Supportive ifWebtoon reports positive revenue growth in its next earnings report.
Worry ifWebtoon is expected to keep reporting negative revenue growth in the next quarters.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost control and efficiency. This helps make more money.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 1.4% in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is below 0.0% in Q3.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA guidance is between $0.0 and $5.0 million. This shows how well the company runs.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 is more than $5.0 million.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 is below $0.0 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$217 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $613 loss on $10,000 · 6.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,129 loss on $10,000 · 61.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: New leadership roles aim to enhance global operations and drive growth. Their effectiveness is key.
Supportive ifRevenue growth speeds up in the next quarters after leadership changes.
Worry ifRevenue growth keeps falling or stays the same after leadership changes.
Why it matters: The new leaders want to improve global operations. Good leadership can help growth and new ideas.
Watch forThe market gives positive feedback on new leaders' plans in six months.
Also watch forThe market reacts negatively or there are more problems in six months.
Why it matters: This shows if the company can recover from recent revenue declines. It impacts investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth on a constant currency basis above 3.3%.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth on a constant currency basis below 0.7%.
Why it matters: This investment could expand WEBTOON's IP ecosystem and drive future growth. It is a key strategic move.
Supportive ifNew game titles are announced from the investment.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the development of games from the investment.
Why it matters: The new leadership structure aims to enhance global operations. Its success is crucial for future growth.
Watch forLeaders receive good feedback on their work. They also see improvements.
Also watch forNegative feedback or problems from the new structure.