Western Digital (WDC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
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Put WDC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Achieve non-GAAP gross margin near 51.5% in fiscal Q4 2026: Q4 FY26 GM 51.5% vs target 51.5%.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 7% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 69% growth a year, above the roughly 55% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 42% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskWestern Digital's growth depends on strong demand for AI storage solutions. The company recently beat earnings expectations, with revenue growing 44% year over year. It trades at 46× P/E, slightly above the 40× peer median. The market expects more growth than the company forecasts, indicating full expectations. A risk is that the company may cut guidance, with a 14% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 1% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. WDC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 26 analysts currently covering WDC (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for WDC in the last 4 months.
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Compare WDC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WDC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across our valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No fair value published
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
This applies to all three horizons. The trailing multiples, peer comparison, and quality and trajectory reads on this page are unaffected. Names move in and out of this state day to day as the methods converge or diverge. Method agreement on this name is low.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put WDC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Positive NAND pricing trends support revenue growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $467.46
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $467.46.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

New sanctions could impact revenue and operations.

Threatens: Increase revenue and expand gross margin
Headwinds could hinder revenue growth and margin expansion.
Advances: Increase revenue and expand gross margin
AI storage demand aligns with revenue growth objectives.

SanDisk's contract book enhances market position and revenue potential.

Threatens: Increase revenue to $3.65 billion
Inventory build may hinder revenue growth target.
Advances: Increase revenue and expand gross margin
AI demand supports revenue and margin expansion.

Threatens: Increase revenue and expand gross margin
Stock drop indicates market concerns about revenue growth.
