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WEC

WEC Energy Group

NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08

$111.66-0.99%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, WEC has a composite score of 12.6 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.8 and reflects various factors, including macroeconomic conditions and sector trends. The top drivers affecting the score include macro rates, labor, inflation, and growth. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +13as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 30% of utilities cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.17
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
813405450485
F2 · Value
expensive
Most expensive 10% of utilities cohort
Why this rank
Price
$111.66
TTM EPS
$2.19
Earnings yield
2.0%
P/E (TTM)
51.0

Trailing four: 2011-Q2, 2011-Q3, 2012-Q2, 2012-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,524
TTM CFO ($M)
3,212
CFO/NI
2.11
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
Insufficient data
No score yet
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutralEPS revised -7.9% / 30d, n=4for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.89 → $0.81 (-7.9% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 4 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 40% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 6.6% above current price.

Material events

1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

No recent events recorded.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Enhance value for customers and stockholdersgrowthbehind14% progressprovisional
    2/5: CEO: 'We continue to see significant growth opportunities ahead. And we remain focused on enhancing value for our customers and stockholders.'
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The company reported net income of $1.6 billion for 2025, up from $1.5 billion in 2024, and consolidated revenues for the full year were $9.8 billion, up $1.2 billion from 2024. The trajectory shows growth in financial performance, aligning with the stated focus on enhancing value.

  2. 2.Reaffirm 2026 EPS guidance of $5.51 to $5.61growthbehind14% progress
    5/5: The company is reaffirming its 2026 earnings guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company reaffirmed its 2026 EPS guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share. With net income of $388.5 million in 2025-Q4 and $270.2 million in 2025-Q3, the financial trajectory supports the guidance range.

  3. 3.Increase dividends for 23rd consecutive yearcapital allocationmixed44% progressprovisional
    2/5: The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of 95.25 cents per share, an increase of 6.7% over the previous rate.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of 95.25 cents per share, marking a 6.7% increase over the previous rate. This continues the company's 23-year trend of increasing dividends, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −11%, typical day ±0.6%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 17%; 252d 15%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −11%. Bad day move −1%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLU) 0.04 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 75/100, drawdown 78/100, beta 4/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-6.6%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLU

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite56.5 / 100
Capital allocation56
Earnings discipline59
Margin discipline55
Balance sheet59
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction52
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Enhance value for customers and stockholders

    Growth

    Focus on operational efficiency, customer care, and financial performance to enhance value.

    Behind

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The company reported net income of $1.6 billion for 2025, up from $1.5 billion in 2024, and consolidated revenues for the full year were $9.8 billion, up $1.2 billion from 2024. The trajectory shows growth in financial performance, aligning with the stated focus on enhancing value.

    14%
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'We continue to see significant growth opportunities ahead. And we remain focused on enhancing value for our customers and stockholders.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-05provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      CEO: 'We continue to see significant growth opportunities ahead. And we remain focused on enhancing value for our customers and stockholders.'

  • #2

    Reaffirm 2026 EPS guidance of $5.51 to $5.61

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-05

    Maintain earnings guidance for 2026 within the range of $5.51 to $5.61 per share.

    Behind

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company reaffirmed its 2026 EPS guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share. With net income of $388.5 million in 2025-Q4 and $270.2 million in 2025-Q3, the financial trajectory supports the guidance range.

    14%
    CEO/CFO:The company is reaffirming its 2026 earnings guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-05-05Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-05
    Show history (2)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      The company reaffirmed its earnings guidance for 2026. Calendar year 2026 earnings are expected to be in a range of $5.51 to $5.61 per share.

    • 2025-Q3Press release

      The company is reaffirming its 2026 earnings guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share.

  • #3

    Increase dividends for 23rd consecutive year

    Capital allocation

    Continue the trend of increasing dividends, marking the 23rd consecutive year of higher dividends.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of 95.25 cents per share, marking a 6.7% increase over the previous rate. This continues the company's 23-year trend of increasing dividends, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders.

    Quarterly cash dividend increased by 6.7%
    44%
    CEO/CFO:The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of 95.25 cents per share, an increase of 6.7% over the previous rate.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-05provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of 95.25 cents per share, an increase of 6.7% over the previous rate.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
21higher = cheaper

Looks more expensive than peers.

Compared to its own history
69higher = cheaper

Around its own typical valuation.

P/E
22.5x
EV/EBITDA
11.3x
FCF yield
-3.0%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
WEC
WEC Energy Group
+13fairmoderate
NEE
NextEra Energy
+19fullmoderate
CEG
Constellation Energy
+16fullelevated
SO
Southern Company
+19fairmoderate
DUK
Duke Energy
+28inexpensivemoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.6%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-1.4%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-11.2%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
  • If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-054d agoItem 2.02

    RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On Tuesday, May 5, 2026, WEC Energy Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission as Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto and incorporated herein by reference.

    earnings preannouncementpositivescore 66
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-20 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.