WEX Inc. (WEX)
NYSEFinancialsSoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$193.91-0.56%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsSoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WEX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers
WEX — director transition
Dated 2026-01-12
Director — Shikhar Ghosh: Two directors are retiring from the board at the annual meeting with no disagreement, and a successor for the Lead Independent Director role has been identified.
Why it matters: The meeting will confirm new board members and governance changes that could impact strategy.
Watch forNew directors were elected. Changes in governance were also made.
Also watch forNew directors were not elected and governance changes did not happen.
Why it matters: News about the $1 billion share buyback may show management's confidence.
Supportive ifManagement will update on the share buyback program. They will share news on its progress or completion.
Worry ifNo updates or a pause in the share repurchase program is announced.
Why it matters: The company expects adjusted net income between $173 million and $180 million. This shows it is working well and making money.
Supportive ifAdjusted net income for Q2 is within or above the guidance range of $173 million to $180 million.
Worry ifAdjusted net income for Q2 falls below $173 million.
Why it matters: Revenue growth below this level may signal weakening demand for WEX's services.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is reported below 5.8% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 5.8% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$153 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $349 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,140 loss on $10,000 · 31.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A successful buyback program could show strong cash flow. It shows management wants to return value to shareholders.
Supportive ifWEX announces it has completed a large part of the $1.0 billion share repurchase program.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the share repurchase program are announced.
Why it matters: New independent directors may change how WEX is run. This could impact investor trust and the company's path.
Supportive ifThe new directors are elected. They support management's strategy at the Annual Meeting.
Worry ifThe new directors are not elected. They may challenge management's strategy.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this goal shows strong profits. It supports growth stories.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted net income reported at or above $189 million.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted net income was below $189 million.
Why it matters: Meeting or beating goals shows strong demand. It also shows good management.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $733 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $733 million.
Why it matters: Progress on the share buyback program signals strong cash flow and capital return to shareholders.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases reach or exceed $300 million by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifShare repurchases remain below $300 million by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Fuel prices affect revenue and profit. They impact the company's financial health.
Watch forU.S. retail fuel prices remain stable or decrease, supporting revenue growth.
Also watch forU.S. retail fuel prices rise a lot. This hurts revenue.