Walmart (WMT)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-07-07
$111.54+0.80%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track WMT free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 28% growth a year, above the roughly 5% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskWalmart's eCommerce growth has to keep compounding to justify its current price. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year in the latest quarter, which was inline with expectations. It trades at 39× P/E, above the 19× peer median, indicating it looks expensive. If Walmart cuts guidance on the next call, that could hurt its stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. WMT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 43 analysts currently covering WMT (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for WMT in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $111.54. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: eCommerce sales growth
Lower prices can drive eCommerce sales growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $111.54
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $111.54.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: eCommerce sales growth
Discounts on beef can enhance eCommerce sales.
Advances: eCommerce sales growth
EV chargers enhance eCommerce and customer engagement.
Increased competition from discount grocery stores.
Price cuts may impact Walmart's margins.
Major price cuts can drive eCommerce traffic and sales.
Advances: eCommerce sales growth
Nuclear PPA supports sustainability and eCommerce growth.
Advances: eCommerce sales growth
Price cuts can boost eCommerce sales growth.
