WMT
WalmartNASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, WMT has a composite score of -9.3, indicating a mixed signal. The management score has decreased by 9.2 points to 44.5, which is a significant driver of the overall score. The top drivers affecting the score include macroeconomic factors such as labor, inflation, rates, and growth. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.06
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Why this rank
Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.75 → $0.75 (-0.1% / 30d). 4 raised, 15 cut, 32 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 91% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 10.9% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
8 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-01-30WMT — CEO transitionimpact 0.62
- 2026-01-16WMT — CEO transitionimpact 0.59
- 2026-01-16WMT — CEO transitionimpact 0.59
- 2026-01-08WMT — director transitionimpact 0.41
- 2025-11-20WMT — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…impact 0.41
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.eCommerce sales growthgrowthmixed63% progress
2/19: “eCommerce sales up 24% globally, led by store-fulfilled pickup & delivery and marketplace.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. eCommerce sales increased by 24% globally, driven by store-fulfilled pickup & delivery and marketplace expansion. This growth aligns with management's focus on enhancing digital sales channels.
- 2.Share repurchase programcapital allocationmixed35% progress
2/19: “Company announces new $30 billion share repurchase authorization.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Walmart announced a new $30 billion share repurchase authorization, indicating a strategic focus on capital allocation to enhance shareholder value. No specific repurchase activity reported this quarter.
- 3.Operating income growthgrowthbehind0% progress
2/19: “Adjusted operating income to grow 6.0% to 8.0%.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income grew from $6.5B to $7.0B in Q4 FY26, reflecting a 6.6% increase. This aligns with the guidance for adjusted operating income growth of 6.0% to 8.0% for FY27, indicating positive trajectory.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 24%; 252d 22%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −11%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 1.03 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 64/100, drawdown 78/100, beta 97/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · management_scoreseverity 23
Management fell by 9.2 points (from 53.7 to 44.5).
As of May 8, 2026, the management score for WMT decreased by 9.2 points, changing from 53.7 to 44.5. The overall composite score is now -9.3, with a confidence level of 77.5, categorized as medium. The signal label is noted as mixed. The situation remains provisional.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
eCommerce sales growth
GrowthFocus on increasing eCommerce sales through store-fulfilled pickup & delivery and marketplace expansion.
MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. eCommerce sales increased by 24% globally, driven by store-fulfilled pickup & delivery and marketplace expansion. This growth aligns with management's focus on enhancing digital sales channels.
63%CEO/CFO:“eCommerce sales up 24% globally, led by store-fulfilled pickup & delivery and marketplace.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-19Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-19Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“eCommerce sales up 24% globally, led by store-fulfilled pickup & delivery and marketplace.”
- #2
Share repurchase program
Capital allocationInitiate a new $30 billion share repurchase authorization to return value to shareholders.
MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Walmart announced a new $30 billion share repurchase authorization, indicating a strategic focus on capital allocation to enhance shareholder value. No specific repurchase activity reported this quarter.
35%CEO/CFO:“Company announces new $30 billion share repurchase authorization.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-19Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-19Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Company announces new $30 billion share repurchase authorization.”
- #3
Operating income growth
GrowthAim for adjusted operating income growth of 6.0% to 8.0% for FY27.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income grew from $6.5B to $7.0B in Q4 FY26, reflecting a 6.6% increase. This aligns with the guidance for adjusted operating income growth of 6.0% to 8.0% for FY27, indicating positive trajectory.
Operating income grew from $6.5B to $7.0B in Q4 FY260%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted operating income to grow 6.0% to 8.0%.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-19Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-19Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Adjusted operating income to grow 6.0% to 8.0%.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
PM Philip Morris International | +5.0 | full | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-02-19)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-02-19)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-308d agoItem 8.01
Other Events. Walmart Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”), and Citigroup Global Markets Inc., J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Mizuho Securities USA LLC, Barclays Capital Inc., HSBC Securities (USA) Inc. and U.S. Bancorp Investments, Inc., acting for themselves and as representatives of the other several underwriters named in Schedule I to the Pricing Agreement (as defined below) (collectively, the “ Underwriters ”), have entered into a Pricing Agreement, dated April 27, 2026 (the “ Pri…
capital allocationneutralscore 43 - 2026-02-192mo agoItem 2.02
of Form 8-K of the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"), Walmart Inc., a Delaware corporation (the "Company"), is furnishing to the SEC a press release that the Company will issue on February 19, 2026 (the "Press Release") and a financial presentation that will be first posted by the Company on the Company’s website at http://stock.walmart.com on February 19, 2026 (the "Financial Presentation"). The Press Release and the Financial Presentation will disclose information regarding the…
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 13 - 2026-01-303mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously reported by Walmart Inc. (the “Company”) in a Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on January 16, 2026 (the “Initial Form 8-K”), on January 15, 2026, the Company announced that Kathryn McLay, the Company’s Executive Vice President, President and Chief Executive Officer, Walmart International (th…
executive changeneutralscore 8 - 2026-01-163mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously reported by Walmart Inc. (the “Company”) in a Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November 14, 2025 (the “Initial Form 8-K”), on November 13, 2025, John Furner was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, effective February 1, 2026 (the “Effective Date”). This Current…
executive changeneutralscore 6 - 2026-01-163mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Walmart U.S. On January 16, 2026, David Guggina, age 40, was appointed Executive Vice President, President and Chief Executive Officer, Walmart U.S. , effective February 1, 2026 (the “Effective Date”). Mr. Guggina will succeed John Furner in this role, whose promotion to President and Chief Executive Officer of Walmart Inc. (the “Company”) as of th…
executive changeneutralscore 6
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.