Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.35 → 1.32 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 5 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 5 to 5; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for WT yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Repurchase $51.9M of Convertible Senior Notes by mid-2026 | A supporting condition in WisdomTree Investments, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is Repurchase $51.9M principal amount. | Intact | Repurchase of $51.9M in notes not completed by mid-2026 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
WT is a growth-oriented financial business with a durable valuation premium, not a turnaround. Its long-term thesis is intact, supported by strong recent results and progress on management priorities, but confidence has eased from high to medium.
WT is expensive versus peers, with a durable premium and an expectations gap that suggests market expectations are demanding. The priced-in assessment is tagged as justified, and fragility is low, so the evidence does not point to unusually concentrated expectations.
Near term, revenue rose to $179.4 million in 2026-Q3 from $147.4 million in 2025-Q4, net inflows reached $4.6 billion, and operating margin improved to 41.3% from 40.5% in the prior quarter. Management is on track with organic growth, operating discipline, and digital-asset initiatives, though the financial contribution from tokenized products is not yet isolated. Near-term miss risk is described as low, but a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis depends on continued growth and margin discipline, alongside evidence that digital-asset activity can contribute financially. A guidance cut or falling rates could weigh on the setup, while continued strong results and higher guidance from sector bellwethers could support financial-sector momentum.
For the 1-3 year view, WT’s operating progress keeps the long-term thesis intact, but its expensive valuation and management volatility leave limited room for execution to weaken. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Dividends stay at $0.03 per share. |
| Intact |
| Dividend per share falls below $0.03 in FY26 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth at or above 26% next year | A primary condition in WisdomTree Investments, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >=26% YoY. | Intact | YoY revenue growth falls below 26% next year | Revenue growth: 42.8% FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >=26% YoY. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Oct 30, 202642.7963 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.29 → $1.32 · observed estimates
$0.76B → $0.77B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.29 | $764,361,820 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.29 | $764,361,820 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.29 | $764,361,820 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-07-27 | $1.29 | $764,361,820 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.29 | $764,361,820 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.29 | $764,361,821 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.29 | $764,361,820 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.28 | $762,557,330 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.28 | $762,557,330 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.28 | $762,557,330 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.29 | $766,349,190 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.30 | $763,269,760 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.30 | $763,269,760 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.30 | $763,269,760 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.30 | $763,269,760 | 7 / 7 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.29 | $766,344,902 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.30 | $766,005,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.30 | $764,005,885 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.30 | $764,005,885 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.30 | $764,005,885 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.30 | $764,005,885 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.30 | $764,005,885 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.30 | $764,005,885 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.30 | $764,005,885 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.31 | $766,355,885 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.32 | $769,590,759 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.32 | $769,590,759 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.32 | $769,590,759 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.32 | $769,590,759 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.32 | $769,590,759 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.32 | $769,590,759 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.33 | $772,562,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.33 | $772,562,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.33 | $772,562,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.33 | $772,562,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.33 | $772,562,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.33 | $772,562,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.33 | $773,494,045 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.35 | $777,223,985 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.35 | $777,223,985 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.35 | $777,223,985 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.35 | $777,223,985 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.35 | $777,223,985 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.35 | $777,223,985 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.35 | $777,223,985 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.35 | $779,447,128 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.35 | $780,688,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.35 | $780,688,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.35 | $780,688,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.35 | $780,688,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.34 | $777,521,699 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.33 | $776,521,699 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.33 | $776,521,699 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.33 | $776,521,699 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.33 | $776,521,699 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.33 | $776,521,699 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.33 | $776,521,699 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.33 | $775,447,556 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.33 | $776,790,413 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.33 | $776,790,413 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.33 | $776,790,413 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.33 | $776,790,413 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.33 | $776,790,413 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.32 | $776,123,970 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.32 | $776,123,970 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.32 | $773,281,256 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.32 | $773,281,256 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.32 | $773,281,256 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.32 | $769,908,399 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.32 | $769,908,399 | 5 / 6 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 5 Buy / Strong Buy · 2 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
0 raises · 1 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.