Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc (AADX)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.56-8.64%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AADX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -29.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of —
AADX — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2026 , Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and conducted a conference call to further discuss the financial results. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Why it matters: The company named IPO work as a top goal and signed an underwriting deal. A clear update would show what happened next.
Watch forThe company reports that the IPO closed and states how much money it raised and how it will use the funds.
Also watch forThe company reports that the IPO was delayed, changed, or withdrawn.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue was $167.3M, but the company lost $96.2M from operations. A smaller loss would show progress.
Supportive ifIn the November 11 results, the operating loss is less than $96.2M.
Worry ifIn the November 11 results, the operating loss is $96.2M or more.
Why it matters: The industrial sector is in a mature phase, with slowing growth. A rise in company revenue would go against that trend.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above Q2's $167.3M.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is at or below Q2's $167.3M.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$297 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $919 loss on $10,000 · 9.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,071 loss on $10,000 · 60.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.