Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.19-3.16%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AEVA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 52.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 70.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AEVA — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-05
Chief Financial Officer — Saurabh Sinha: Mr. Saurabh Sinha resigned as Chief Financial Officer to pursue another opportunity outside of the sensing industry.
Why it matters: SICK has launched one industrial sensor using Aeva's Eve technology. More products would show the partnership is growing.
Supportive ifSICK names a second Eve-powered sensor launch. Or it reports a wider production rollout.
Worry ifSICK reports no new Eve-powered products. Or it pauses the partnership.
Why it matters: Bendix chose Aeva to develop a system for major North American truck platforms. Production would show progress beyond development.
Supportive ifBendix names Aeva's lidar or software in a launch or customer order for its next ADAS system.
Worry ifBendix drops Aeva from the system, or reports that the program will not enter production.
Why it matters: A result above Q1's $6.3 million record would show growth after Q2 revenue slipped to $6.1 million.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue is higher than $6.3 million.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue is below $6.1 million, down from Q2.
Why it matters: Aeva reported operating losses near $35 million in both Q1 and Q2. A larger loss would show costs rising faster than current revenue.
Worry ifA quarterly GAAP operating loss is more than $35 million.
Less concerning ifA quarterly GAAP operating loss is $35 million or less, matching or improving on Q1 and Q2.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$396 on $10,000 · ±4.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,095 loss on $10,000 · 10.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,064 loss on $10,000 · 70.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Aeva's CFO left in September, and the company named an interim CFO. A permanent hire would close the open finance role.
Supportive ifAeva names a permanent CFO in a company release or SEC filing.
Worry ifAeva reports the interim CFO is still in place. It has not announced a permanent hire by the next earnings report.