Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$119.76-2.35%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AGYS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 43.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 19.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 60 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AGYS — officer change
Dated 2026-06-22
Chief Executive Officer and President — Ramesh Srinivasan: Mr. Srinivasan's employment agreement was renewed with continued roles and new equity grants.
Why it matters: Sales kept backlog at a record level despite strong project work. A slowdown in turning that backlog into revenue could put the new targets at risk.
Worry ifA coming report says backlog is still at a record level and revenue grows year over year.
Less concerning ifA coming report says backlog fell, or revenue growth drops below the 17.7% reported for Q2.
Why it matters: Agilysys raised its revenue range twice this year. Meeting or beating the new range would back its growth story.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 revenue reaches at least $374 million.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 revenue falls below $374 million, or management cuts the $374 million to $378 million range.
Why it matters: Subscriptions are a growing share of recurring sales. Growth at the new target would show that demand is holding up.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 subscription revenue growth reaches at least 34% year over year.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 subscription revenue growth falls below 34%, or management lowers its growth goal.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$187 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $529 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,198 loss on $10,000 · 52.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.