Alignment Healthcare, Inc. (ALHC)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare PlansSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.54-0.07%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare PlansSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALHC
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $14 ALHC trades at 40× p/e — 1.7× the 23× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $15 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $19.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $10.22 | 12.7 | 0.55 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $15.71 | 21.3 | 0.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $6.57 | 18.7 | 0.35 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $80.85 |
| 3.8 |
| 21.29 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $11.50 | 33.8 | 0.34 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $8.83 | 22.9 | 0.39 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $23.89 | 21.3 | 1.12 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $8.50 | 18.7 | 0.45 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $17.50 | 33.8 | 0.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $31.60 | 21.3 | 1.48 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $10.99 | 18.7 | 0.59 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $23.14 | 33.8 | 0.68 | Analyst | medium |