Autoliv (ALV)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$125.20+0.12%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALV
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $125 ALV trades at 13× p/e, below its 14× p/e peer median, but our blended $124 fair value is roughly in line with the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $122–$148. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $148 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $147.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $382.77 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $482.79 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $58.39 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$122.00 – $148.00 (median $147.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-07-20
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $87.04 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $109.88 | 7.5 | 17.66 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $148.81 | 14.6 | 10.19 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $135.22 | 13.5 | 9.99 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $95.38 | 0.6 | 149.31 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $262.73 | 26.3 | 9.99 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $61.89 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $123.17 | 12.3 | 9.99 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $141.99 | 13.5 | 10.49 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $226.32 | 14.6 | 15.50 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $168.87 | 13.5 | 12.48 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $102.61 | 0.6 | 160.64 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $328.12 | 26.3 | 12.48 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $153.82 | 12.3 | 12.48 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $299.31 | 14.6 | 20.49 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $177.10 | 13.5 | 13.08 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $107.61 | 0.6 | 168.46 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $344.10 | 26.3 | 13.08 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $161.32 | 12.3 | 13.08 | Analyst | medium |