Autoliv (ALV)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$124.03-1.31%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 6.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ALV — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-23
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 23, 2026, Autoliv, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated herein by reference. This press release contains certain references to financial measures identified as “organic sales,” “adjusted operating income,” “adjusted operating margin,” “adjusted other non-operating items, net,…
Why it matters: Autoliv plans to close its Türkiye plants by the first half of 2028. The move affects about 2,200 workers and carries about $142 million in charges.
Watch forAutoliv reports a clear closure milestone, keeps the first-half 2028 end date, and keeps total charges near $142 million.
Also watch forAutoliv delays the closure beyond the first half of 2028 or raises the stated total charges above $142 million.
Why it matters: Autoliv tied its cash return plans to strong cash flow. Q3 operating cash flow was $239 million, down from $434 million in Q2.
Watch forThe full-year report shows operating cash flow near $1.2 billion, as guided.
Also watch forFull-year operating cash flow is far below $1.2 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$111 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $304 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,196 loss on $10,000 · 22.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.